San Diego Padres vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction MLB Picks 7/19/24

Pick details

Cleveland Guardians (58-37) vs San Diego Padres (50-49)

July 19, 2024 at 07:10 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Cleveland Guardians -109 / San Diego Padres -109 — Over/Under: 7.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The San Diego Padres and the Cleveland Guardians meet Friday in MLB action from Progressive Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a San Diego Padres vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The San Diego Padres will send out Matt Waldron for the start here and Waldron is 5-8 with a 3.71 ERA and 94 strikeouts this season. This will be Waldron’s first career start against the Guardians. The Cleveland Guardians will start Tanner Bibee here and Bibee is 7-4 with a 3.77 ERA and 123 strikeouts this season. This will be Bibee’s second career start against San Diego.

San Diego Padres Recap

The San Diego Padres come into this one looking to right the ship to start the second half after falling short in their series against the Braves, losing Sunday’s finale before the all-star break by a final score of 6-3, giving the Padres a 3rd straight series loss after falling to the Mariners and Diamondbacks in the series prior.

Padres Trying To Turn Things Around To Stay In NL Playoff Chase

Jurickson Profar has 103 hits along with a .305 batting average and 16 doubles with 14 homers and 59 RBIs. Jake Cronenworth has 55 RBIs while Fernando Tatis Jr. has belted a team-high 14 home runs, 86 hits, 71 strikeouts and 8 stolen bases as well this season, but is out of the lineup because of injury. Manny Machado has 13 home runs and 52 RBIs but also has 79 strikeouts while Ha-Seong Kim has 73 hits with 3 triples, 12 doubles, 10 home runs, 40 RBIs and a team-high 18 stolen bases.

Why the San Diego Padres will win

  • The Padres have won each of their last six night games against AL Central opponents following a loss.
  • The Guardians have lost six of their last eight games as favorites against NL West opponents following a road loss.
  • The Guardians have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 games.
  • The Padres have covered the run line in each of their last seven Friday games as road underdogs against American League opponents.

Cleveland Guardians Recap


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The Cleveland Guardians will be looking to keep the ball rolling in the second half, leading the AL Central, but a series loss to the Tampa Bay Rays thanks to a 2-0 loss in their final game pre-all-star break gave the Guardians back-to-back series losses after a series loss in Detroit to the Tigers prior to the set with the Rays.

Guardians Still Holding Onto Division Lead

Jose Ramirez leads the Guardians with 100 hits as well as 23 home runs and 77 RBIs while Josh Naylor also has 22 home runs and 70 RBIs of his own. Ramirez has a team-high 20 doubles while Tyler Freeman has 13 doubles and Andres Gimenez has 45 RBIs with 15 stolen bases while the aforementioned Ramirez has a team-high 18 stolen bases on the year.

Why the Cleveland Guardians will win

  • The Guardians have won nine of their last 10 games at Progressive Field following a loss.
  • The Padres have lost six of their last seven games.
  • The Guardians have covered the run line in each of their last nine night games against National League opponents following a road loss.
  • The Padres have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven games.

San Diego Padres vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction

I’m on the under here. Maybe the all-star break was a bit of a reset, but neither side was hitting the ball all that well going into the break, as the Guardians were held to 1 run or less in three of their last four and San Diego scored 3 or less in five of their last six. Waldron and Bibee have been two of the more underappreciated options in their respective rotations, and I think we have a low-scoring duel ahead. Give me the under.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Under 7.5

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