St. Louis Cardinals vs Atlanta Braves Prediction MLB Picks 7/19/24

Atlanta Braves (53-42) vs St. Louis Cardinals (50-46)

Game Info: Friday, July 19, 2024 at 7:20 pm (Truist Park)

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Betting Odds: Atlanta Braves -169 / St. Louis Cardinals +144 --- Over/Under: 7.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The St. Louis Cardinals and Atlanta Braves meet Friday in MLB game 1 action at Truist Park. Here’s a St. Louis Cardinals vs Atlanta Braves Prediction. This article will include a St. Louis Cardinals vs Atlanta Braves Pick.

St. Louis Cardinals Betting Preview

The St. Louis Cardinals are 50-46 on the year after games against the Royals and Cubs. The St. Louis Cardinals have scored 19 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 6 of their last 8 games. The St. Louis Cardinals have split their last 12 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Brendan Donovan leads the St. Louis Cardinals with 98 hits and 45 RBI, while Nolan Arenado and Masyn Winn have combined for 184 hits and 73 RBI.

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Atlanta Braves are 53-42 on the year after games against the Diamondbacks and Padres. The Atlanta Braves have scored 12 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 6 of their last 8 games. The Atlanta Braves have won 6 of their last 7 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Marcell Ozuna leads the Atlanta Braves with 107 hits and 77 RBI, while Ozzie Albies and Matt Olson have combined for 171 hits and 88 RBI.

St. Louis Cardinals vs Atlanta Braves Pitching Pick Matchup

Sonny Gray gets the ball for the St. Louis Cardinals, and he is 9-6 with a 3.34 ERA and 121 strikeouts this season. Gray has allowed 17 hits and 8 runs in his last 12 innings. Gray has a 5.09 ERA and .265 allowed batting average in 40.2 road innings. Gray is 0-3 with a 3.38 ERA and 38 strikeouts in his career against the Atlanta Braves.

Spencer Schwellenbach gets the ball for the Atlanta Braves, and he is 3-4 with a 4.43 ERA and 41 strikeouts this season. Schwellenbach has allowed 10 hits and 2 runs in his last 13 innings. Schwellenbach has a 3.68 ERA and .233 allowed batting average in 22 home innings. This will be Schwellenbach’s second career game against the St. Louis Cardinals.

Why the St. Louis Cardinals will Beat the Braves

  • The Cardinals have won each of their last four games as underdogs against National League opponents following a home loss.
  • The Braves have lost five of their last six games as favorites against National League opponents following a road win.
  • The Braves have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games as favorites against NL Central opponents following a win.
  • The Cardinals have covered the run line in each of their last four games as underdogs against National League opponents following a home loss.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

  • Matt Olson has hit a home run in each of the Braves' last three games against the Cardinals at Truist Park.
  • Ozzie Albies has recorded a Double in each of the Braves' last three games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Austin Riley has scored at least one run in each of his last six appearances at Truist Park against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
  • Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one Single in 15 of the Braves' last 16 games against NL opponents at Truist Park.
  • Michael Harris has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances with the Braves as favorites against NL Central opponents.
  • Ronald Acuna Jr. has recorded at least one RBI in eight of his last nine appearances against NL Central opponents at Truist Park.
  • Michael Harris has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 13 appearances with the Braves as favorites against NL Central opponents.
  • Marcell Ozuna ranks 5th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.581) this season.

St. Louis Cardinals Player Prop Facts

  • Willson Contreras has hit a home run in four of his last seven road appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Nolan Arenado has scored at least one run in eight of his last nine road appearances after not playing the previous day.
  • Nolan Arenado has recorded at least one Single in nine of his last 10 appearances against the Braves.
  • Willson Contreras has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 14 Friday appearances.
  • Paul Goldschmidt has recorded at least one hit in each of the Cardinals' last 12 games at Truist Park against NL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Matt Carpenter has recorded an RBI in each of his last four appearances at Truist Park against NL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Brandon Crawford has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances with the Cardinals as road underdogs.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Atlanta Braves rank 1st in the league for runs allowed this season (342).
  • The Atlanta Braves rank 2nd in the league for doubles this season (178).
  • The St. Louis Cardinals rank T6th in the league for walks allowed this season (269).
  • The St. Louis Cardinals rank 24th in the league for RBI's this season (374).

St. Louis Cardinals vs Atlanta Braves Prediction

The Atlanta Braves have been the better team this season, and they're going to get the benefit of the doubt at home. However, the value in this spot is with the Cardinals and the plus money. Sonny Gray is just the far and away more trustworthy pitcher and has been better than Spencer Schwellenbach on a larger sample size. Gray has been one of the best starters in the league this season, with a top-25 ERA and a top-20 WHIP. We're getting nearly 1.5 times our money. Give me the Cardinals for a road upset.

Randy’s Pick St. Louis Cardinals +144

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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