Pick details
| MATCHUP | Pittsburgh Pirates | New York Yankees |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 52-49 | 56-44 |
| Spread | +1.5 -163 | -1.5 135 |
| Moneyline | +123 | -149 |
| Total | Over 9 (-114) | Under 9 (-105) |
| Where | Yankee Stadium, Bronx, New York | |
| When | Tuesday, July 21, 2026 | |
| Time | 07:05 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview
The Pittsburgh Pirates are 52-49 on the year and play the Cubs and Diamondbacks next. The Pittsburgh Pirates are batting .263 on the season and have a .341 OBP and a .427 slugging percentage. The Pittsburgh Pirates’ pitching staff has a 4.30 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP. Nick Gonzales leads the Pittsburgh Pirates with 110 hits and 45 RBIs, while Bryan Reynolds and Brandon Lowe have combined for 193 hits and 124 RBIs.
Bubba Chandler gets the ball for the Pittsburgh Pirates, and he is 3-8 with a 4.77 ERA and 85 strikeouts this season. This will be Chandler’s first career game against the New York Yankees.
New York Yankees Betting Preview
The New York Yankees are 56-44 on the year and play the Phillies and White Sox next. The New York Yankees are batting .237 on the season and have a .316 OBP and a .423 slugging percentage. The New York Yankees’ pitching staff has a 3.42 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP. Ben Rice leads the New York Yankees with 99 hits and 68 RBI, while Cody Bellinger and Jazz Chisholm Jr. have combined for 168 hits and 95 RBI.
Will Warren gets the ball for the New York Yankees, and he is 7-4 with a 4.03 ERA and 96 strikeouts this season. Warren is 0-0 with a 12.60 ERA and 8 strikeouts in his career against the Pittsburgh Pirates.
Why the New York Yankees will win
- The Pirates have lost each of their last five night games after playing the previous day.
- The Yankees have won four of their last five games against the Pirates.
- The Yankees have covered the run line in each of their last five games after playing the previous day.
- The Pirates have failed to cover the run line each of their last three night games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Pirates have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last nine night games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Yankees have led after 3 innings in nine of their last 11 games as home favorites against National League opponents.
Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win
- The Pirates have won each of their last four games as road underdogs against American League opponents following a road loss.
- The Yankees have lost seven of their last eight home games after playing the previous day.
- The Pirates have covered the run line in each of their last seven games as underdogs against American League opponents following a road loss.
- The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven games as home favorites after playing the previous day.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Yankees’ last six games as favorites against the Pirates have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Five of the Pirates’ last six games as road underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in seven of the Pirates’ last eight games against AL East opponents.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in six of the Yankees’ last seven games as favorites.
New York Yankees Player Prop Facts
- Jasson Dominguez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances with the Yankees as favorites against NL opponents.
- Will Warren has recorded five or more strikeouts in 10 of his last 11 home appearances.
- Jazz Chisholm has hit at least one home run in three of his last four appearances with his team as a home favorite against the Pirates.
Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts
- Bubba Chandler has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last three appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
- Esmerlyn Valdez has hit at least one home run in six of the Pirates’ last eight games.
- Nick Gonzales has recorded at least one hit in each of the Pirates’ last 10 road games against opponents that held a winning record.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs New York Yankees Prediction
Chandler has been hittable this season with a 4.77 ERA, and he’s allowed 18 hits and 11 runs in his last 15 innings. In 55.1 innings on the road, Chandler has a 4.88 ERA and .225 batting average allowed. Warren has allowed 16 hits and 9 runs in his last 14.1 innings. Warren has allowed 14 runs in his last 20 innings. Two pitchers in shaky form, and we have a little league park. I expect some fireworks. Give me the over in this spot.
