Detroit Tigers vs Chicago Cubs Prediction 7/20/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Tigers vs Cubs Prediction for this MLB matchup on Monday, July 20th in the opening game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Chicago Cubs Preview

The Chicago Cubs have a 56-43 record this season and are sitting in the 2nd place of the NL Central. They have a 29-20 home record and are coming off a 10-1 home win against the Twins. They will face the Yankees and the Cardinals next.

The Chicago Cubs have a .244 batting average this season, .336 OBP and .410 Slugging percentage. Chicago’s pitching staff has a 4.31 ERA and 1.27 WHIP. Pete Crow-Armstrong is the team’s best hitter with a .284 batting average, adding a team-high 21 home runs. Dansby Swanson leads the team in RBI with 58.

Jameson Taillon (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Chicago Cubs, and he has a 2-5 record, 5.19 ERA and 1.30 WHIP.

Detroit Tigers Preview

The Detroit Tigers have a 46-53 record this season and are sitting in the 4th place of the AL Central. They have a 19-30 away record and are coming off a 2-3 road loss against the Angels. They will face the Royals and the Orioles next.

The Detroit Tigers have a .235 batting average this season, .313 OBP and .399 Slugging percentage. Detroit’s pitching staff has a 3.58 ERA and 1.21 WHIP. Riley Greene is the team’s best hitter with a .286 batting average. Dillon Dingler leads the team in RBI with 60, adding a team-high 19 home runs.

Jack Flaherty (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Detroit Tigers, and he has a 3-8 record, 4.48 ERA and 1.41 WHIP.

Detroit Tigers @ the Chicago Cubs Betting Trends: July 20, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Jameson Taillon      Record this season: 2-5      ERA: 5.19
• Home Record: 1-2
• Last 5 against Tigers: 2-2

Why the Chicago Cubs will win

• The Tigers have lost seven of their last eight night games against National League opponents.
• The Cubs have won each of their last four games after playing the previous day.
• The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as underdogs against NL Central opponents.
• The Cubs have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games after playing the previous day.
• The Cubs have won the first inning in each of their last five games as favorites against AL Central opponents.
• The Tigers have trailed after 3 innings in seven of their last eight games as underdogs against NL Central opponents.
• The Tigers have trailed after 5 innings in eight of their last nine games as underdogs against National League opponents.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Jack Flaherty      Record this season: 3-8      ERA: 4.48
• Road Record: 2-5
• Last 5 against Cubs: 1-1

Why the Detroit Tigers will win

• The Tigers have won each of their last five games as underdogs against the Cubs following a loss.
• The Cubs have lost four of their last five games as favorites against the Tigers following a win.
• The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight night games against AL Central opponents following a home win.
• The Tigers have covered the run line in each of their last seven games against the Cubs following a loss.
• The Tigers have led after 3 innings in each of their last four night games against the Cubs at Wrigley Field.
• The Tigers have led after 5 innings in five of their last six games as underdogs.

Total Runs Facts

• Eight of the Tigers’ last nine games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the last three games between the Tigers and Cubs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Cubs’ last 12 Monday games against AL Central opponents.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in nine of the Tigers’ last 10 games as road underdogs against NL Central opponents.

Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts

• Alex Bregman has hit a home run in three of the Cubs’ last four games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Jameson Taillon has recorded five or more strikeouts in 10 of his last 11 home appearances against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• Michael Busch has recorded at least one hit in each of the Cubs’ last nine home games against AL opponents.
• Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks T4th in the league in Steals (25) this season.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

• Spencer Torkelson has hit a home run in each of the Tigers’ last five games against NL Central opponents.
• Jack Flaherty has recorded six or more strikeouts in six of his last seven appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Riley Greene has recorded at least one hit in each of the Tigers’ last nine road games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• Kevin McGonigle ranks 7th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.390) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Cubs rank 1st in the league for walks this season (431).
• The Cubs rank 1st in the league for walks this season (431).
• The Tigers rank 30th in the league for steals this season (33).
• The Tigers rank 30th in the league for steals this season (33).

Tigers vs Cubs Prediction

Both teams are tied 4-4 in their last 8 meetings and the Cubs have won two of their last three meetings in Chicago.

In this Tigers vs Cubs Prediction, the Cubs are coming as -115 home favorites. I like the Cubs in this one at home in a very good price. The Tigers have been bad on the road and I don’t trust Jack Flaherty against the Cubs’ offense, which ranks 4th in baseball and have scored 16 runs in their last two games. Jameson Taillon has been better at home and the Cubs have been in excellent form with a 7-3 record in their last 10 games, so I expect them to take care of business at home in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Chicago Cubs ML