Apr 12, 2026; Toronto, Ontario, CAN; Toronto Blue Jays starting pitcher Max Scherzer (31) pitches to the Minnesota Twins during the first inning at Rogers Centre. Mandatory Credit: John E. Sokolowski-Imagn Images
John E. Sokolowski-Imagn Images

Philadelphia Phillies vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction 6/10/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Philadelphia Phillies Toronto Blue Jays
Team Records 36-31 33-35
Spread -1.5 119 +1.5 -144
Moneyline -136 +113
Total Over 8.5 (-110) Under 8.5 (-110)
Where Rogers Centre, Toronto, Ontario
When Wednesday, June 10, 2026
Time 07:07 PM EDT
TV MLB.TV

In this article, we will formulate a Phillies vs Blue Jays Prediction for this MLB matchup on Wednesday, June 10th in the third game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Toronto Blue Jays Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays have a 33-35 record this season and are sitting in the 3rd place of the AL East. They have a 20-15 home record and are coming off a 3-2 home win against the Phillies. They will face the Yankees and the Red Sox next.

The Blue Jays have a .249 batting average this season, .312 OBP and .387 Slugging percentage. Toronto’s pitching staff has a 4.02 ERA and 1.26 WHIP. Ernie Clement is the team’s best hitter with a .304 batting average. Kazuma Okamoto leads the team in RBI with 37, adding a team-high 13 home runs.

Max Scherzer (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Blue Jays, and he has a 1-3 record, 9.64 ERA and 1.61 WHIP.

Philadelphia Phillies Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies have a 36-31 record this season and are sitting in the 2nd place of the NL East. They have a 17-14 road record and are coming off a 2-3 road defeat against the Blue Jays. They will face the Brewers and the Marlins next.

The Phillies have a .227 batting average this season, .297 OBP and .387 Slugging percentage. Philadelphia’s pitching staff has a 4.01 ERA and 1.29 WHIP. Brandon Marsh is the team’s best hitter with a .332 batting average. Kyle Schwarber leads the team in RBI with 40, adding a team-high 23 home runs.

Jesus Luzardo (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Phillies, and he has a 4-4 record, 4.56 ERA and 1.33 WHIP.

Philadelphia Phillies @ Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends: June 10, 2026

  • Probable Starting Pitcher: Max Scherzer      Record this season: 1-3      ERA: 9.64
  • Home Record: 1-3
  • Last 5 against Phillies: 3-1

Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win

  • The Phillies have lost each of their last six games as road favorites against AL East opponents following a road loss.
  • The Blue Jays have won 10 of their last 12 games as home underdogs following a home win.
  • The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine games as favorites against AL East opponents following a road loss.
  • The Blue Jays have covered the run line in 11 of their last 13 games against teams that held a winning record.

  • Probable Starting Pitcher: Jesus Luzardo      Record this season: 4-4      ERA: 4.56
  • Road Record: 3-0
  • Last 5 against Blue Jays: 0-1

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

  • The Phillies have won each of their last six games following a road loss.
  • The Blue Jays have lost each of their last four night games against the Phillies following a win.
  • The Phillies have covered the run line in each of their last five road games following a loss.
  • The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games against NL East opponents following a win.
  • The Blue Jays have trailed after 3 innings in seven of their last eight night games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Phillies have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight games as road favorites.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Phillies’ last seven road games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Eight of the Blue Jays’ last 10 games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of Max Scherzer’s last four appearances as a starter against the Phillies.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Phillies’ last six night games.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

  • Ernie Clement has hit a home run in three of the Blue Jays’ last five home games against NL opponents.
  • Max Scherzer has recorded a win in five of his last six appearances against NL East opponents.
  • Max Scherzer has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last 34 appearances against NL East opponents.
  • Andres Gimenez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 Wednesday night appearances.
  • Ernie Clement ranks 3rd in the league in Hits (79) this season.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

  • Kyle Schwarber has hit at least one home run in five of the Phillies’ last eight games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Jesus Luzardo has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances with the Phillies as road favorites.
  • Jesus Luzardo has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last five appearances with the Phillies as road favorites.
  • Bryson Stott has recorded at least one hit in each of the Phillies’ last eight games as road favorites against AL opponents.
  • Kyle Schwarber ranks 1st in the league in Home Runs (23) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Blue Jays rank 30th in the league for triples this season (4).
  • The Blue Jays rank 2nd in the league for strikeouts against this season (490).
  • The Phillies rank 29th in the league for batting average this season (.227).
  • The Phillies rank 2nd in the league for walks allowed this season (179).

Phillies vs Blue Jays Prediction

The Orioles are 5-3 in their last 8 meetings against the Mariners and have lost their last two meetings in Baltimore.

In this Phillies vs Blue Jays Prediction, the Phillies are coming as -155 road favorites. Phillies chocked in the bottom of the 9th inning yesterday and eventually lost. They will face Max Scherzer today, who has not played since April and has been terrible this season with a 9.64 ERA and 1.61 WHIP. Luzardo is coming off a bad start but has been excellent on the road with a 3-0 record and 1.54 ERA and will face a Toronto lineup that has been significantly weaker against lefties. Take the Phillies for the bounce-back win today.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Philadelphia Phillies ML

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