Iowa State vs BYU Prediction 10/9/2026 Today’s College Football Picks

In this article, we will formulate an Iowa State vs BYU Prediction for this College Football Week 6 matchup on Friday, October 9th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Football matchup.

BYU Cougars Preview

BYU has a 4-0 record and are coming off a 17-10 road win against TCU. They will face Notre Dame and UCF next. Offensively, BYU averages 44 points per game, ranking 8th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 19 points per game, which is 33rd. BYU averages 415.3 total yards per game (179.8 passing and 235.5 rushing), while allowing 268 total yards per game (75 rushing and 193 passing).

Bear Bachmeier leads BYU with 704 passing yards with 64% completed passes and 6 touchdowns, also adding a team-high 130 rushing yards. Legend Glasker has a team-high 14 receptions for 279 receiving yards. Defensively, Cade Uluave has a team-high 20 total tackles (15 of them solo), while Tausili Akana leads the team with 3.5 sacks.

Iowa State Cyclones Preview

Iowa State has a 3-2 record and are coming off a 45-42 home win against West Virginia. They will face Arizona and Oklahoma State next. Offensively, Iowa State averages 33.6 points per game, ranking 54th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 21.2 points per game, which is 47th. Iowa State averages 391.6 total yards per game (194.2 passing and 197.4 rushing), while allowing 321.6 total yards per game (149.2 rushing and 172.4 passing).

Jaylen Raynor leads Iowa State with 903 passing yards with 58% completed passes and 6 touchdowns. Aiden Flora leads the team in rushing yards with 594, while Dominic Overby has a team-high 10 receptions for 212 receiving yards. Defensively, Sullivan Schlimgen has a team-high 46 total tackles (24 of them solo), while Isaac Terrell leads the team with 3 sacks.

Iowa State Cyclones @ BYU Cougars Betting Trends: Week 6

Why the BYU Cougars will win

• BYU has won each of its last 15 games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Iowa State has lost 14 of its last 16 games against top-15 AP-ranked teams.
• The favorite has covered the spread in each of BYU’s last 10 games.
• Iowa State has failed to cover the spread in 12 of its last 13 games against top-15 AP-ranked teams.
• The team ranked 8th in the AP Poll has won the first quarter in six of its last seven games.
• Iowa State has lost the first half in each of its last 12 games as an underdog against top-15 AP-ranked teams.

Why the Iowa State Cyclones will win

• Iowa State has won three of its last four October games as an underdog against top-10 AP-ranked teams.
• Iowa State has covered the spread in nine of its last 10 October games as an underdog against AP-ranked teams.
• BYU has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six games as a top-10 AP-ranked team.
• Iowa State has won the first half in eight of its last 10 games in October.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Iowa State’s last four road games have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Six of BYU’s last seven October games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.

BYU Cougars Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 6, Cannon DeVries is one of only 15 players in the FBS to have a kick return touchdown this season.

Iowa State Cyclones Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 6, Aiden Flora ranks 7th amongst FBS players for rushing yards (594) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• BYU ranks 4th among FBS teams for 3rd down conversion percentage this season (57.4).
• BYU ranks 9th among FBS teams for rushing yards allowed per game this season (75.0).
• Iowa State ranks T1st among FBS teams for red zone percentage this season (100.0).
• Iowa State ranks 27th among FBS teams for passing yards allowed per game this season (172.4).

Iowa State vs BYU Prediction

In this Iowa State vs BYU prediction, BYU is coming as -11.5 home favorites. BYU has been excellent this season, having won and covered all of its four games played, having the 8th-best offense in the country and almost crack the top-30 defensively, for a dominating +25 point differential. On the flip side, Iowa State has lost its only road game by scored just 13 points and also lost their previous meeting against BYU last season by 27-41. Take BYU to win this one comfortably at home and cover the -11.5 spread.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: BYU -11.5