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Philadelphia Phillies vs Chicago Cubs Prediction MLB Picks 7/4/24
Pick details
Chicago Cubs (39-46) vs Philadelphia Phillies (55-29)
July 4, 2024 at 02:20 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Chicago Cubs +105 / Philadelphia Phillies -125 — Over/Under: 8.5
The Philadelphia Phillies and the Chicago Cubs meet Thursday in MLB action from Wrigley Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Philadelphia Phillies vs Chicago Cubs Prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Philadelphia Phillies will send out Cristopher Sanchez here and Sanchez is 6-3 with a 2.41 ERA and 79 strikeouts this season. This will be Sanchez’s first career start against the Cubs. The Chicago Cubs will send out Jameson Taillon for the start here and Taillon is 4-4 with a 3.03 ERA and 58 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Phillies, Taillon is 0-4 with a 12.94 ERA and 18 strikeouts.
Philadelphia Phillies Recap
The Philadelphia Phillies will try to complete the sweep of the Cubs after picking up a 5-3 win in Wednesday’s matchup. The win gives the Phillies a chance to keep their series unbeaten streak alive after taking out the Tigers last week and splitting with the Marlins in a four-game set this past weekend.
Phillies Trying To Keep Offensive Momentum Up
Alec Bohm leads the Phillies with 97 hits including 28 doubles, a .299 batting average and a team-high 70 RBIs while Bryce Harper has 20 home runs with 58 RBIs and Bryson Stott has a team-high 20 stolen bases. Kyle Schwarber has a team-high 17 home runs, 49 RBIs and a team-high 103 strikeouts as well this season. Johan Rojas also has 15 stolen bases as well this season.
Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win
- The Phillies have won each of their last seven games against the Cubs.
- The Cubs have lost each of their last six games against the Phillies following a loss.
- The road team has covered the run line in each of the last six games between the Phillies and Cubs.
- The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine home games against the Phillies following a loss.
Chicago Cubs Recap
The Chicago Cubs come into this game looking to salvage something from the set after their loss to the Phillies on Wednesday. The series loss for the Cubs kept their series losing streak going after series losses to the Brewers, Giants and Mets over the last two weeks.
Cubs Looking For Answers
Cody Bellinger leads the Cubs with 79 hits including 15 doubles, 9 home runs and 36 RBIs. Nico Hoerner has 70 hits, 14 doubles and a .241 batting average while Christopher Morel has a team-high 15 home runs and 45 RBIs. Michael Busch has 10 homers with 30 RBIs but has 94 strikeouts as well this season. Ian Happ also has a team-high 19 doubles with 11 home runs and 44 RBIs but also has 93 strikeouts this season.
Why the Chicago Cubs will win
- The underdogs have won four of the Cubs’ last five games at Wrigley Field.
- The Phillies have lost three of their last four games as road favorites against NL Central opponents following a road win.
- The Cubs have covered the run line in seven of their last eight day games against NL East opponents following a home loss.
- The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six day games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
Philadelphia Phillies vs Chicago Cubs Prediction
I’m on the Phillies here. The Cubs are simply in free fall right now and have been one of the worst teams in baseball against left-handed pitching in recent weeks. Taillon’s clearly had issues against the Phillies in his career and this is not a good spot for him to try to fix those. The Phillies are the better team by a mile in far better form and I trust them to get the win in this one.
