Milwaukee Brewers vs Colorado Rockies Prediction MLB Picks 7/4/24

Rockies are Showing Some Pitching Improvement

The Colorado Rockies are 29-57 this season and they have split their last four games. Colorado won game one in this series by a score of 8-7 on Monday, but they only scored three total runs in games two and three. Prior to this series, the Rockies lost two out of three against the White Sox, lost both games against the Astros, and lost two out of three against the Nationals. Colorado is 2-7 in their last nine games and they are last in the NL West. 

The Colorado pitching staff has a 5.56 ERA, a 1.54 WHIP, and a .289 opponent batting average. The Rockies offense has scored 361 runs with a .244 batting average and a .305 on base percentage. Ryan McMahon is batting .266 with 14 home runs and 43 RBI’s for the Rockies this season. Colorado has allowed four runs or fewer in three of their last four games.

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is Tobias Myers, who is 5-2 with a 3.26 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP over 58.0 innings pitched this year. Myers has allowed one earned run or fewer in four of his last five starts. The projected starting pitcher for Colorado is Cal Quantrill, who is 6-6 with a 3.78 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP over 95.1 innings pitched this season. Quantrill has allowed at least three earned runs in three straight starts. 

Why the Brewers will beat the Rockies

• The Brewers have won eight of their last 10 games.
• The Rockies have lost seven of their last eight Thursday night games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last 10 Thursday games.
• The Rockies have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight night games following a loss.

Total Runs Facts

• Four of the Rockies' last five night games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Nine of the Brewers' last 12 games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Brewers' last five Thursday games against National League opponents.

Colorado Rockies Player Prop Facts

• Ryan McMahon has scored a run in seven of his last eight home appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Cal Quantrill has recorded five or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances with the Rockies as home underdogs against NL opponents.
• Brendan Rodgers has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven appearances at Coors Field against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Kris Bryant has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances in night games against NL Central teams that held a winning record.
• Kris Bryant has hit a home run in each of his last two home appearances against NL Central opponents.
• Kris Bryant has recorded at least one RBI in three of his last four appearances against NL Central opponents at Coors Field.
• Jacob Stallings has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last seven appearances in night games against NL teams that held a winning record.

Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts

• Christian Yelich has recorded at least one hit in each of the Brewers' last 16 games as favorites against the Rockies.
• Christian Yelich has recorded at least one Single in seven of the Brewers' last eight games against the Rockies.
• Gary Sanchez has hit at least one home run in four of his last 12 appearances with his team as a road favorite against NL opponents.
• Rhys Hoskins has recorded an RBI in four of the Brewers' last five games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
• Christian Yelich has recorded at least one total base in each of the Brewers' last 16 games as favorites against the Rockies.
• Christian Yelich has scored at least one run in nine of the Brewers' last 10 night games against opponents that held a losing record.

Milwaukee Brewers vs Colorado Rockies Prediction 

Milwaukee came into this series as an average road team so far this year, but they have won games two and three and they are looking for the series win here. The Brewers are 25-22 on the road this year, while the Rockies are 17-26 at home. Colorado has really struggled to string wins together this season and they have the worst team ERA in the MLB. The Rockies are going with Quantrill, who has allowed 11 earned runs in his last three starts. Milwaukee is going with Myers, who has actually been fantastic for them this year. My Milwaukee Brewers vs Colorado Rockies prediction is for the Brewers to win.