MATCHUP	New York Mets	Philadelphia Phillies
Team Records	34-42	41-35
Spread	+1.5 -127	-1.5 105
Moneyline	+168	-205
Total	Over 8 (-110)	Under 8 (-109)
Where	Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
When	Sunday, June 21, 2026
Time	07:20 PM EDT
TV	NBC

The New York Mets and Philadelphia Phillies meet Sunday in MLB action at Citizens Bank Park. Here’s a New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction. This article will include a New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Pick.

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 34-42 on the year and play the Phillies and Cubs next. The New York Mets are batting .233 on the season, have a .298 OBP, and have a .373 slugging percentage. The New York Mets’ pitching staff has a 4.07 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP. Bo Bichette leads the New York Mets with 77 hits and 42 RBI, while Carson Benge and Juan Soto have combined for 134 hits and 66 RBI.

David Peterson gets the ball for the New York Mets, and he is 3-5 with a 5.91 ERA and 58 strikeouts this season. Peterson is 1-4 with a 5.28 ERA and 71 strikeouts in his career against the Philadelphia Phillies.

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 41-35 on the year and play the Nationals and Mets next. The Philadelphia Phillies are batting .232 on the season, with a .300 OBP and a .395 slugging percentage. The Philadelphia Phillies pitching staff has a 4.09 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP. Brandon Marsh leads the Philadelphia Phillies with 81 hits and 35 RBI, while Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber have combined for 139 hits and 92 RBI.

Zack Wheeler gets the ball for the Philadelphia Phillies, and he is 6-1 with a 2.01 ERA and 62 strikeouts this season. Wheeler is 5-5 with a 3.36 ERA and 110 strikeouts in his career against the New York Mets.

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

The Mets have lost each of their last 12 games as road underdogs against National League opponents following a road loss.
The home team has won nine of the last 10 games between the Mets and Phillies.
The Mets have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games as road underdogs against NL East opponents following a loss.
The Phillies have covered the run line in six of their last seven games as home favorites against the Mets.
The Mets have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four road night games.
The Mets have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four road night games.

Why the New York Mets will win

The Phillies have lost four of their last five games following a win.
The Mets have won three of their last four games following a loss.
The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games following a win.
The Mets have covered the run line in seven of their last eight Sunday games against teams that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

Four of the last five games between the Mets and Phillies at Citizens Bank Park have gone OVER the total runs line.
Seven of the Mets’ last nine night games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Mets’ last seven night games against NL East opponents.
There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in seven of the Phillies’ last eight games as favorites.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

Kyle Schwarber has hit at least one home run in seven of the Phillies’ last nine home games against opponents that held a losing record.
Brandon Marsh has recorded at least one hit in 15 of his last 16 appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
Zack Wheeler has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances with the Phillies as home favorites against NL opponents.
Zack Wheeler has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last six appearances with the Phillies as home favorites against NL East opponents.
Kyle Schwarber ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.595) this season.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

Juan Soto has hit at least one home run in two of the Mets’ last three night games against opponents that held a winning record.
Juan Soto has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mets’ last eight games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.

Matchup/League Facts

The Phillies rank 28th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.300).
The Phillies are one of only three teams in the league to rank in the top 10 in both steals and home runs this season.
The Mets rank 28th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.373).
The Mets rank 27th in the league for walks this season (218).