New York Mets vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction 07/10/2025 Picks

The New York Mets and Baltimore Orioles meet Thursday in a MLB doubleheader at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Here’s a New York Mets vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction. This article will include a New York Mets vs Baltimore Orioles Pick.

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 53-39 on the year and play the Royals, Reds, and Angels next. The New York Mets are batting .246 on the season, have a .325 OBP, and a .420 slugging percentage. The New York Mets pitching staff has a 3.56 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP. Pete Alonso leads the New York Mets with 100 hits and 75 RBI, while Francisco Lindor and Juan Soto have combined for 181 hits and 103 RBI. 

David Peterson and TBD get the ball for the New York Mets.

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 40-50 on the year and play the Marlins, Rays, and Guardians next. The Baltimore Orioles are batting .239 on the season, have a .305 OBP, and a .400 slugging percentage. The Baltimore Orioles pitching staff has a 4.94 ERA and a 1.42 WHIP. Gunnar Henderson leads the Baltimore Orioles with 87 hits and 29 RBI while Jackson Holliday and Ryan O’Hearn have combined for 161 hits and 70 RBI.

Charlie Morton and Tomoyuki Sugano get the ball for the Baltimore Orioles.

Why the Baltimore Orioles will win

The Mets have lost each of their last four games as road favorites against AL East opponents following a win.
The Orioles have won each of their last three games as underdogs against NL East opponents following a loss.
The Orioles have covered the run line in 17 of their last 18 games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games as favorites on the first leg of a doubleheader.
The Orioles have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games against National League opponents.
The Orioles have led after 5 innings in five of their last six games against the Mets at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

Why the New York Mets will win

The Orioles have lost 15 of their last 17 games on the first leg of a doubleheader.
The road team has won each of the Orioles’ last four games.
The Mets have covered the run line each of their last four day games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven home games after going to extra innings.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

Ramon Laureano has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances in day games against NL East teams that held a winning record.
Charlie Morton has recorded five or more strikeouts in 16 of his last 17 home appearances against NL East opponents.
Gunnar Henderson has recorded at least one hit in each of the Orioles’ last nine day games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
Ryan Mountcastle has recorded at least one Double in three of his last four appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
Charlie Morton has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

Pete Alonso has hit at least one home run in each of the Mets’ last four games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards against opponents that held a losing record.
Juan Soto has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
Brett Baty has recorded at least one Double in three of the Mets’ last four road games against opponents that held a losing record.
Pete Alonso ranks T9th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.551) this season.

New York Mets vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction

Game 1 Prediction: The Mets look like a team that’s gotten back on track and is rolling offensively. Peterson has been strong this season with a 3.18 ERA and 1.27 WHIP. Morton is a shell of himself at 41 years old, as he has a 5.47 ERA and 1.55 WHIP. While he’s been better lately, those are still his season numbers, and he has a 5.12 ERA and .272 allowed batting average in 45.2 home innings. No, thanks. Give me the Mets in game 1.   

Game 2 Prediction: It would be nice to know who is pitching for the Mets, but I’m siding with them in game 2 as well regardless. Sugano has a 4.44 ERA and 1.31 WHIP, and he’s allowed 45 hits and 23 earned runs in his last 29.1 innings. In 44 home innings, Sugano has a 4.91 ERA and .288 allowed batting average. The Mets should have a field day offensively. Give me the Mets for a doubleheader sweep.