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May 1, 2026; Bronx, New York, USA; New York Yankees right fielder Aaron Judge (99) slides in to second base as Baltimore Orioles shortstop Gunnar Henderson (2) can not secure the throw during the seventh inning at Yankee Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Vincent Carchietta-Imagn Images
Vincent Carchietta-Imagn Images

Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees Prediction 5/2/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

Beard, Face, Head

Randy Chambers

Pick details

MATCHUP Baltimore Orioles New York Yankees
Team Records 15-17 21-11
Spread +1.5 -143 -1.5 119
Moneyline +139 -168
Total Over 8.5 (-112) Under 8.5 (-108)
Where Yankee Stadium, Bronx, New York
When Saturday, May 2, 2026
Time 01:35 PM EDT
TV MLB.TV

The Baltimore Orioles and New York Yankees meet Saturday in MLB action at Yankee Stadium. Here’s a Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees Prediction. This article will include a Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees Pick.

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview


The Baltimore Orioles are 15-17 on the year and play the Marlins and Athletics next. The Baltimore Orioles are batting .233 on the season and have a .319 OBP, and a .395 slugging percentage. The Baltimore Orioles pitching staff has a 4.39 ERA and a 1.44 WHIP. Taylor Ward leads the Baltimore Orioles with 35 hits and 11 RBI while Gunnar Henderson and Jeremiah Jackson have combined for 55 hits and 43 RBI.

Kyle Bradish gets the ball for the Baltimore Orioles, and he is 1-3 with a 4.20 ERA and 31 strikeouts this season. Bradish is 1-1 with a 3.09 ERA and 41 strikeouts in his career against the New York Yankees.

New York Yankees Betting Preview


The New York Yankees are 21-11 on the year and play the Rangers and Brewers next. The New York Yankees are batting .232 on the season and have a .328 OBP, and a .430 slugging percentage. The New York Yankees’ pitching staff has a 3.05 ERA and a 1.12 WHIP. Ben Rice leads the New York Yankees with 34 hits and 26 RBI while Aaron Judge and Jose Caballero have combined for 59 hits and 33 RBI.

Ryan Weathers gets the ball for the New York Yankees, and he is 1-2 with a 3.21 ERA and 40 strikeouts this season. This will be Weathers’ first career game against the Baltimore Orioles.

Why the New York Yankees will win

  • The Orioles have lost 14 of their last 15 games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Yankees have won each of their last seven games at Yankee Stadium against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Yankees have covered the run line in each of their last four home games.
  • The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Orioles have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five road day games.
  • The Orioles have trailed after 3 innings in seven of their last eight games at Yankee Stadium against opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Orioles have lost the first inning in each of their last four games at Yankee Stadium against opponents that held a winning record.

Why the Baltimore Orioles will win

  • The Yankees have lost four of their last six games as home favorites against American League opponents following a win.
  • The Orioles have won five of their last six games against American League opponents following a road loss.
  • The Orioles have covered the run line in 14 of their last 17 games as road underdogs against AL East opponents following a road loss.
  • The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in each of their last three games following a win.

Total Runs Facts

  • Nine of the Orioles’ last 10 day games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Nine of the Yankees’ last 11 games as favorites against the Orioles have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Orioles’ last seven games at Yankee Stadium.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the last nine games between the Orioles and Yankees at Yankee Stadium.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

  • Giancarlo Stanton has hit at least one home run in three of his last four appearances at Yankee Stadium against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven home appearances against the Orioles.
  • Aaron Judge ranks T2nd in the league in Home Runs (12) this season.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

  • Pete Alonso has hit a home run in each of the Orioles’ last two games as underdogs.
  • Kyle Bradish has recorded six or more strikeouts in 15 of his last 16 road appearances.
  • Ryan Mountcastle has recorded at least one hit in 12 of his last 13 appearances at Yankee Stadium.
  • Gunnar Henderson ranks T10th in the league in Home Runs (9) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Yankees rank T1st in the league for runs allowed this season (108).
  • The Yankees rank 2nd in the league for walks allowed this season (87).
  • The Orioles rank 26th in the league for strikeouts against this season (296).
  • The Orioles rank T25th in the league for steals this season (15).

Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees Prediction


As I said yesterday, the Yankees are rolling, and they have a long history of smoking the Orioles. I’m not stepping in front of the Yankees. Bradish has also been hittable this season with a 4.20 ERA and 1.73 WHIP, and he’s walked 17 batters in 30 innings. Not what you want to see when going up against this Yankees lineup. Weathers is much more manageable with his 1.22 WHIP and 40 strikeouts in 33.2 innings. Give me the Yankees yet again in this series.

Randy Chambers's Pick: New York Yankees

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