Miami Marlins vs Kansas City Royals Prediction MLB Picks 6/25/24

The Miami Marlins and the Kansas City Royals meet Tuesday in MLB action from Kauffman Stadium. Here’s a Miami Marlins vs Kansas City Royals prediction. This will be the second installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game. We will examine:

The Miami Marlins recent form and player performance

The Kansas City Royals recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Miami Marlins

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Kansas City Royals

Recent betting trends in games played between the Marlins and Royals

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Marlins vs Royals game

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Marlins’ weekend series was against the Seattle Mariners. Miami fell 9-0 in a blowout Saturday result but otherwise won 3-2 in game one and 6-4 in the finale for a series victory. On Monday versus the Royals the Marlins were out-hit 6-4 in a 4-1 loss. Starter Roddery Munoz finished with 6.0 innings and four earned runs.

In the starter role for Tuesday’s game the Marlins are sending out Yonny Chirinos. In his lone start this year Chirinos took a no-decision with 5.0 innings and two earned. Chirinos is 20-15 with a 4.02 career ERA in 70 games (39 starts).

Kansas City Royals Betting Preview

Over on the Royals’ side, they had a rough series versus the Texas Rangers over the weekend. Kansas City fell 6-2, 6-0 and 4-0 for a sweep in that matchup. On Monday in the opener the Royals got three solo homers. Cole Ragans went 6.0 innings in the start with one earned and 11 strikeouts.

Seth Lugo will take the starting pitcher role for the Royals on Tuesday. This year so far Lugo is 10-2 with a 2.42 ERA in 16 starts. Lugo is 50-33 with a 3.35 ERA in his career over 317 games (80 starts).

Marlins vs Royals Pick Injury Notes

Marlins SP Jesus Luzardo (lumbar) will likely be out four to six weeks. SP Braxton Garrett was scratched from his scheduled start Sunday due to discomfort in his left elbow.

Royals CF Kyle Isbel (back) and 2B Adam Frazier were both absent from the starting lineup Sunday.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Marlins’ last four night games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Five of the Royals’ last six games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Royals’ last six games.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Marlins’ last five Tuesday night games against AL Central opponents.

Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts

• Salvador Perez has hit a home run in three of the Royals’ last four games against NL East opponents.
• Bobby Witt Jr. has recorded a Double in four of the Royals’ last five games at Kauffman Stadium.
• Hunter Renfroe has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last six appearances with the Royals as favorites.
• Seth Lugo has recorded a win in each of his last five appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
• Vinnie Pasquantino has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Royals’ last six games against NL opponents at Kauffman Stadium.
• Bobby Witt Jr. has scored at least one run in eight of the Royals’ last nine home games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Kyle Isbel has recorded at least one hit in each of his last six home appearances.
• Adam Frazier has recorded at least one Single in eight of his last nine appearances with his team as a favorite against the Marlins.
• Bobby Witt Jr. ranks T4th in the league in Steals (21) this season.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Jesus Sanchez has hit a home run in two of the Marlins’ last three games against the Royals.
• Bryan De La Cruz has recorded a Double in three of the Marlins’ last four games as underdogs against AL Central opponents.
• Bryan De La Cruz has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Marlins’ last five road games against AL Central opponents.
• Yonny Chirinos has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last three appearances in night games.
• Bryan De La Cruz has scored at least one run in five of the Marlins’ last six games as road underdogs against AL opponents.
• Bryan De La Cruz has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Marlins’ last four night games.
• Jazz Chisholm has recorded at least one Single in nine of his last 10 appearances after playing the previous day.
• Josh Bell has recorded at least one hit in each of his last six appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Kansas City Royals rank T6th in the league for home runs allowed this season (73).
• The Kansas City Royals rank 7th in the league for doubles this season (137).
• The Miami Marlins rank 29th in the league for runs scored this season (274).
• The Miami Marlins rank T29th in the league for doubles this season (103).

Miami Marlins vs Kansas City Royals Prediction

I’m going to take a stab on the Marlins due to the thick line. Probably not touching it in reality, though. Chirinos has just the one start under his belt this year. On June 19 versus the Cardinals, Chirinos gave up two earned on eight hits in 5.0 innings for a no-decision. As for Lugo, he’s done fairly well over his last two starts with four earned in 12.2 innings for a 1-0 record.

On Monday the Marlins really only had one bad inning on defense and the bullpen was excellent. That said, there wasn’t much going on at the plate. Miami needs to get the bats going if they want to stand a chance Tuesday.