Miami Marlins vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction 8/14/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

The Miami Marlins and Cincinnati Reds meet Friday in MLB action at Great American Ball Park. Here’s a Miami Marlins vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction. This article will include a Miami Marlins vs Cincinnati Reds Pick.

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 62-60 on the year and play the Phillies and Nationals next. The Miami Marlins are batting .250 on the season, have a .326 OBP, and have a .404 slugging percentage. The Miami Marlins’ pitching staff has a 3.98 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP. Otto Lopez leads the Miami Marlins with 148 hits and 53 RBI, while Xavier Edwards and Kyle Stowers have combined for 210 hits and 98 RBI.

Sandy Alcantara gets the ball for the Miami Marlins, and he is 13-6 with a 3.52 ERA and 128 strikeouts this season. Alcantara is 2-5 with a 3.72 ERA and 59 strikeouts in his career against the Cincinnati Reds.

Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview

The Cincinnati Reds are 58-62 on the year and play the Diamondbacks and Cardinals next. The Cincinnati Reds are batting. 227 on the season, have a .307 OBP, and have a .395 slugging percentage. The Cincinnati Reds’ pitching staff has a 4.51 ERA and a 1.41 WHIP. Sal Stewart leads the Cincinnati Reds with 118 hits and 89 RBI, while Elly De La Cruz and Spencer Steer have combined for 188 hits and 96 RBI.

Chase Burns gets the ball for the Cincinnati Reds, and he is 13-2 with a 2.61 ERA and 143 strikeouts this season. This will be Burns’ first career game against the Miami Marlins.

Why the Cincinnati Reds will win

• The Reds have won each of their last four games at Great American Ball Park.
• The Marlins have lost each of their last four road games against NL Central opponents.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine night games against the Reds at Great American Ball Park following a loss.
• The favorites have covered the run line in eight of the Marlins’ last 10 games.
• The Reds have led after 5 innings in four of their last five games as favorites against NL East opponents.
• The Reds have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games against the Marlins at Great American Ball Park.

Why the Miami Marlins will win

• The Reds have lost each of their last three games as favorites against National League opponents following a win.
• The Marlins have won four of their last six games as underdogs against NL Central opponents following a home loss.
• The Reds have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games as favorites following a win.
• The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last six night games against NL Central opponents.
• The Reds have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six games.
• The Reds have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Marlins’ last eight games as road underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Nine of the Reds’ last 11 night games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Marlins’ last seven games against NL Central opponents.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Reds’ last six Friday night games against NL East opponents.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

• Eugenio Suarez has hit a home run in three of the Reds’ last four night games.
• Chase Burns has recorded seven or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances with the Reds as home favorites against NL opponents.
• Sal Stewart has recorded at least one hit in each of the Reds’ last eight games as favorites.
• Chase Burns has recorded a win in each of his last five appearances with the Reds as home favorites against NL opponents.
• Chase Burns ranks 7th amongst qualified players for Earned Run Average (2.61) this season.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Griffin Conine has hit a home run in two of the Marlins’ last three road games against NL Central opponents.
• Sandy Alcantara has recorded six or more strikeouts in six of his last seven appearances in night games against NL Central teams that held a losing record.
• Xavier Edwards has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last seven road games against the Reds.
• Sandy Alcantara has recorded a win in six of his last seven appearances against NL opponents.
• Sandy Alcantara ranks T3rd in the league for Wins (13) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Reds rank 28th in the league for strikeouts against this season (1142).
• The Reds rank 28th in the league for walks allowed this season (498).
• The Marlins are one of only five teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and batting average this season.
• The Marlins rank 6th in the league for home runs allowed this season (124).

Miami Marlins vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction

We’re getting plus money with the better team in the Marlins, who also have a CY Young winner on the mound in Alcantara. The Marlins are also in the thick of the wild card race, while the Reds have some work to do. Yes, Burns has been strong this season, and the Reds have won a lot with him on the bump but he’s also allowed 8 hits and 6 runs in his last 11.1 innings. I’ll grab the more favorable price with the team in the better position right now.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Miami Marlins