Mets vs Marlins Prediction 9/9/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Mets vs Marlins prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, September 9th at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 67-78 this season after they won the first two games by scores of 9-4 and 7-5. In game two, New York scored seven runs in the first five innings, but nearly blew the lead in the victory. The Mets recorded eight hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Soto, who went 2-4 with one home run and three RBIs. Manaea allowed five hits and four earned runs over 5.0 innings for the win, while Senga picked up the save. Prior to this series, New York won two out of three against the Giants and two out of three against the Rays. 

This season, New York has a 4.12 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP and a .239 opponent batting average, while they have scored 612 runs with a .237 batting average and a .307 on base percentage. Juan Soto has led the Mets with 24 home runs and 59 RBIs, while Bo Bichette has added 16 home runs and 72 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Robert Stock, who is 1-3 with a 5.81 ERA and a 1.75 WHIP over 26.1 innings pitched this season. 

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 72-74 this year after they lost game two by a score of 5-7 last night. Miami scored four runs in the sixth inning to get back into the game, but couldn’t complete the comeback for the loss. The Marlins recorded 10 hits in the game and they were led by Lopez, who went 1-4 with one RBI. Alcantara allowed seven hits and seven earned runs over 4.1 innings for the loss, while Fulton threw 3.0 innings in relief. Prior to this series, Miami lost two out of three against the Cubs, but did win two out of three against the Royals before that. 

This season, Miami has a 4.02 ERA with a 1.27 WHIP and a .234 opponent batting average, while they have scored 640 runs with a .247 batting average and a .325 on base percentage. Otto Lopez has led the Marlins with 10 home runs and 64 RBIs, while Owen Caissie has added 13 home runs and 55 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Janson Junk, who is 6-9 with a 4.00 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP over 108.0 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Miami Marlins will win

• The Mets have lost seven of their last eight games at LoanDepot Park following a road win.
• The Marlins have won seven of their last eight night games against the Mets following a home loss.
• The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last six Wednesday games at LoanDepot Park.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six Wednesday night road games against NL East opponents.

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Marlins have lost each of their last five games as favorites against NL East opponents.
• The Mets have won four of their last five games as underdogs.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games as favorites against NL opponents following a loss.
• The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last five games as underdogs against the Marlins following a win.
• The Mets have led after 5 innings in six of their last seven games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Marlins have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four home night games.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Marlins’ last five games as favorites against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Mets’ last four games as underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in 15 of the Marlins’ last 17 night games against NL opponents.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Mets’ last five night games at LoanDepot Park.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Heriberto Hernandez has hit a home run in five of the Marlins’ last 10 games as favorites.
• Jakob Marsee has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last nine games as home favorites.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Juan Soto has hit at least one home run in four of his last five appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a losing record.
• Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 24 appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.

Mets vs Marlins Prediction 

New York comes into this matchup on a three game winning streak and they have scored 7+ runs in three of their last five games. The Mets are 33-38 on the road this year, while the Marlins are 43-31 at home. Miami has dropped four of their last five games and they have allowed 6+ runs in all four of those losses. The Marlins are starting Junk, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four straight starts, while Stock has allowed 0, 7, 1, and 0 earned runs in his last four starts. Take the Mets here, as they continue to play very well.

David Racey's Pick: Mets ML