LA Dodgers vs Colorado Rockies Prediction MLB Picks 6/17/24

Pick details

Colorado Rockies (25-45) vs LA Dodgers (43-29)

June 17, 2024 at 08:40 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Colorado Rockies +170 / LA Dodgers -204 — Over/Under: 12

(Get latest betting odds)

The Los Angeles Dodgers and the Colorado Rockies meet Monday in MLB action from Coors Field. Here’s a Los Angeles Dodgers vs Colorado Rockies prediction. This will be the first installment in a four-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game. We will examine:

The Los Angeles Dodgers recent form and player performance

The Colorado Rockies recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Los Angeles Dodgers

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Colorado Rockies

Recent betting trends in games played between the Dodgers and Rockies

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Dodgers vs Rockies game

Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview

The Dodgers are fresh off a weekend series versus the Kansas City Royals. Los Angeles split the first pair of games 4-3 (win) and 7-2 (loss). In the rubber match Sunday LA posted a 3-0 win on five team hits. 

For the starter gig Monday the Dodgers will send out James Paxton. So far Paxton is 6-1 with a 3.92 ERA and 35 Ks in 59.2 innings over 12 starts. In his career Paxton is 70-39 with a 3.71 ERA in 168 starts. The Dodgers will take on the Angels after this series.

Colorado Rockies Betting Preview

Over on the Rockies’ side, they played the Pittsburgh Pirates in their last set. Colorado similarly split the first two games 5-2 (loss) and 16-4 (win). On Sunday the Rockies gave up 15 hits in an 8-2 loss. Starting pitcher Dakota Hudson had 5.1 innings with three earned on seven hits and a walk.

As starting pitcher Monday the Rockies will go with Cal Quantrill. In 14 starts Quantrill is 6-4 with a 3.30 ERA and has 56 Ks in 79.0 total innings. Quantrill is 41-27 with a 3.77 ERA in 146 career games (108 starts).

Dodgers vs Rockies Injury Notes

Rockies 2B Brendan Rodgers (hamstring) has engaged in all baseball activities in recent days.

Total Runs Facts

  • Five of the Dodgers’ last six road games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Four of the last five games between the Dodgers and Rockies have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Dodgers’ last three games.

Colorado Rockies Player Prop Facts

  • Cal Quantrill has recorded a win in six of his last eight appearances.
  • Brendan Rodgers has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 20 appearances at Coors Field against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
  • Brendan Rodgers has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 20 appearances at Coors Field against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
  • Brendan Rodgers has recorded a Double in each of his last three home appearances.
  • Brendan Rodgers has recorded a Single in each of the Rockies’ last nine Monday night games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
  • Cal Quantrill has recorded four or more strikeouts in four of his last five home appearances against NL West opponents.
  • Brendan Rodgers has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last five appearances against NL opponents at Coors Field.
  • Brendan Rodgers has scored a run in each of the Rockies’ last four games at Coors Field against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
  • Charlie Blackmon has hit at least one home run in eight of his last 26 home appearances against the Dodgers after playing the previous day.

Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts

  • Will Smith has recorded at least one RBI in 11 of his last 13 road appearances against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
  • Miguel Vargas has scored at least one run in each of his last five road appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
  • James Paxton has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his eight previous road appearances against NL West opponents.
  • Teoscar Hernandez has hit at least one home run in each of the Dodgers’ last two road games.
  • Mookie Betts has recorded at least one total base in each of the Dodgers’ last nine night games.
  • James Paxton has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against NL West opponents.
  • Will Smith has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine road appearances against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
  • Miguel Rojas has recorded a Double in three of his last four road appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Gavin Lux has recorded at least one Single in each of his nine previous Monday night appearances against NL West teams that held a losing record.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Colorado Rockies Prediction

I’ll try the Rockies as a value play here. Quantrill is doing well over his last two starts. In that pair he gave up zero earned on six hits and five walks in 11.0 combined innings, winning both. As for Paxton, he had a rough start versus Pittsburgh on June 5 (1.2 innings; six earned) but came back with 6.0 innings of one-earned ball in his last start.

On Sunday the Rockies had a couple of really bad innings on the mound and couldn’t cash in on their offensive efforts. I like Colorado to come back stronger, but a victory Monday would be a lofty outcome.

Andrew Jett's Pick: Colorado Rockies +170

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