Cincinnati Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction MLB Picks 6/17/24

The Cincinnati Reds and the Pittsburgh Pirates meet Monday in MLB action from PNC Park. Here’s a Colorado Rockies vs Pittsburgh Pirates prediction. This will be the first installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game. We will examine:

The Pittsburgh Pirates recent form and player performance

The Cincinnati Reds recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Pittsburgh Pirates

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Cincinnati Reds

Recent betting trends in games played between the Pirates and Reds

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Pirates vs Reds game

Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview

The Reds played the Milwaukee Brewers over the weekend. Cincinnati split the first pair in that set 6-5 (win) and 3-1 (loss). In the rubber match Sunday the Reds took a tough loss 5-4. Starter Frankie Montas left after 5.0 innings with three earned on four hits and three walks.

For the starter gig on Monday the Reds will go with Carson Spiers. This year Spiers has a 2.33 ERA without a decision through five games (zero starts). Spiers has 15 Ks in 19.1 innings. Over his career Spiers is 0-1 with a 4.18 ERA in nine games (two starts).

Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview

Over on the Pirates’ side, they took on the Colorado Rockies in their weekend series. Pittsburgh won 5-2 in the opener then took a 16-4 blowout loss in game two. In the rubber match finale the Pirates scored five in the sixth inning during an 8-2 win. Starting pitcher Josh Fleming had 4.0 clean frames, four hits, no walks and two Ks.

It’ll be Paul Skenes in the starting pitcher role for the Pirates on Monday. This year Skenes is 3-0 with a 2.43 ERA in six starts. He’s got 46 Ks in 33.1 innings so far in his rookie campaign.

Rockies vs Pirates Injury Notes

Reds SP Brandon Williamson will not undergo surgery on his left shoulder.

Pirates catcher Henry Davis (concussion) was placed on the 7-day Injured List Saturday.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Reds’ last eight games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Pirates’ last five games as home favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Pirates’ last three games as favorites against NL Central opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Reds’ last three night games at PNC Park.

Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts

• Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one hit in each of the Pirates’ last 14 games.
• Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one total base in each of the Pirates’ last 14 games.
• Connor Joe has recorded at least one Double in four of the Pirates’ last five home games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one Single in each of the Pirates’ last eight games against NL opponents at PNC Park.
• Michael A. Taylor has recorded at least one RBI in five of his last six home appearances against the Reds after playing the previous day.
• Andrew McCutchen has scored a run in each of his last six appearances with the Pirates as favorites against NL Central opponents.
• Oneil Cruz has hit a home run in each of the Pirates’ last two home games against NL Central opponents.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

• Tyler Stephenson has recorded at least one Single in each of the Reds’ last six road games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Jeimer Candelario has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Reds’ last four road games against NL opponents.
• Tyler Stephenson has scored at least one run in each of the Reds’ last five road games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Jake Fraley has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances at PNC Park against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Jeimer Candelario has recorded at least one hit in each of the Reds’ last eight road games.
• Jeimer Candelario has recorded at least one total base in each of the Reds’ last eight night games against opponents that held a losing record.

Colorado Rockies vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction

I’ll lean toward the Pirates but I could probably go either way. This should be a fun starter matchup regardless, though. Skenes has given up five earned in 17.1 combined innings on 14 hits and two walks over his last three starts. He’s 2-0 in that time. As for Spiers, he’s got just one earned in his last 12.1 innings total.

On Sunday the Pirates had an 8-0 lead at one point during a stellar offensive outing. If Skenes can get that sort of backup Pittsburgh will roll to another victory. That said, we should have a much closer game on Monday.