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Kansas City Royals vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction 4/1/25 MLB Picks

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Milwaukee Brewers (0-4) vs Kansas City Royals (2-2)

April 1, 2025 at 07:40 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Milwaukee Brewers -110 / Kansas City Royals -110 — Over/Under: 8.5

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Kansas City Royals vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, April 1st, at American Family Field. To formulate this prediction, we will look at: 

-The Royals’ recent form and recent player performance 

-The Brewers’ recent form and recent player performance

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Kansas City

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Milwaukee

-Recent betting trends in games played between Kansas City and Milwaukee

-A summary that ties it all together produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between the Royals and Brewers. 

Momentum for the Royals?

It’s been a bit of an inconsistent start to the season, but maybe Monday is all they need to get the momentum going. The Royals scored 11 runs against the Brewers and ended up cruising. Jonathan India was quite impressive, finishing with three hits, two runs, and two RBIs. Maikel Garcia also hit a home run, two RBIs, and two walks. Kris Bubic was also dominant on the mound, and he went six innings, giving up three hits and eight shootouts. Two games ago, against the Cleveland Guardians, they didn’t look as strong, and the offense only managed two runs. 

Michael Lorenzen will start for the Royals, and it will be his first start of the season. Last season, in seven appearances, he finished with a 2-0 record and an ERA of 1.57. They need that 2024 version of him back. 

Why the Royals Will Beat the Brewers

  • The Royals have won 10 of their last 11 road games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Brewers have lost each of their last five games.
  • The Royals have covered the run line in each of their last 10 road games against NL Central opponents.
  • The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games.
  • The Brewers have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five games against American League opponents.
  • The Royals have led after 3 innings in five of their last six road games against NL Central opponents.

Brewers Need to Figure It Out Quick

It’s only four games into the season, and there is still plenty of the season left, but an 0-4 straight is not exactly what they had in mind. Three of the four pitchers on Monday were awful, and they can’t let that happen again here. Elvis Peguero went 1.1 innings, giving up four hits and four runs. Grant Anderson went 2.2 innings, giving up four hits and three runs. Jackson Churio drove in the only run for the Brewers. Over the last three games, the Brewers’ pitching has given up 43 runs total. 

Getting the start for the Brewers will be Chad Patrick, and he currently sits with a 0-0 record and an ERA of 18.00. He went one win against the Yankees and gave up two hits and two runs. He gave up a home run, and he has to keep the ball in the ballpark here. 

Why the Brewers Will Beat the Royals

  • The Brewers have won each of their last seven night games against American League opponents following a loss.
  • The Royals have lost five of their last six night games following a win.
  • The Brewers have covered the run line in seven of their last eight night games against AL Central opponents.
  • The Royals have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games.
  • The Royals have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five night games at American Family Field against NL Central opponents.

Kansas City Royals vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction

The Overs have been strong plays in the Brewers game so far this season, and it’s going to be no different here. It was a small sample size for Patrick, but he still gave up a home run, and he’s going to really struggle again here. Lorenzen wasn’t exactly dominant during Spring Training, sitting with an ERA over four, and the Brewers can use this game to get the offense going also. Pitching is going ot be a major problem in this game, and this game will end up over the total. 

Shane Mickle's Pick: Over

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