Kansas City Royals vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction MLB Picks 8/27/24

Pick details

Cleveland Guardians (73-54) vs Kansas City Royals (71-56)

August 27, 2024 at 06:40 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Cleveland Guardians -149 / Kansas City Royals +126 — Over/Under:

(Get latest betting odds)

The Kansas City Royals and the Cleveland Guardians meet Tuesday in MLB action from Progressive Field. Here’s a Kansas City Royals vs Cleveland Guardians prediction. This will be the third installment in a four-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Royals vs Guardians pick. We will examine:

The Kansas City Royals recent form and player performance

The Cleveland Guardians recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Kansas City Royals

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Cleveland Guardians

Recent betting trends in games played between the Royals and Guardians

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Royals vs Guardians game

Kansas City Royals Betting Preview

In their weekend series the Royals took on the Philadelphia Phillies over the weekend and didn’t do well. KC got swept in three straight games. After a makeup game against the Guardians (a 4-3 win) on Monday the Royals came back from an early deficit for a 9-4 win. Starter Alec Marsh finished with 4.2 innings and two earned runs.

Michael Lorenzen will start for the Royals on Tuesday. This year Lorenzen is 7-6 with a 3.47 ERA in 23 games (22 starts). In his career Lorenzen is 47-44 with a 4.02 ERA in 365 games (91 starts).

Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview

Over on the Guardians’ side, over the weekend they played the Texas Rangers. Cleveland lost the first installment of that set but won the next pair. In the Monday opener matchup the Guardians were out-hit 15-7 in the defeat. Logan Allen posted 5.0 innings and five earned runs as starter.

Gavin Williams will start for the Guardians on Tuesday. So far Williams is 2-6 with a 5.13 ERA in 10 starts. Williams is 5-11 with a 3.97 ERA in 26 career starts.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Royals’ last five night games against AL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Each of the Guardians’ last five night games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Royals’ last five games as road underdogs against AL Central opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Guardians’ last three games as favorites.

Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts

  • Jose Ramirez has hit at least one home run in six of the Guardians’ last 12 games as favorites.
  • Jose Ramirez has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Guardians’ last six games against the Royals at Progressive Field.
  • Jose Ramirez has recorded at least one Double in each of the Guardians’ last three games against AL Central opponents at Progressive Field.
  • Andres Gimenez has recorded a Single in each of his last six appearances at Progressive Field against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Jose Ramirez has scored at least one run in each of the Guardians’ last 11 games at Progressive Field against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Jose Ramirez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Guardians’ last 15 Tuesday games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Jose Ramirez has recorded at least one total base in each of the Guardians’ last eight games against the Royals.

Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts

  • Bobby Witt Jr. has scored at least one run in seven of the Royals’ last eight road games.
  • Bobby Witt Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of the Royals’ last 12 games as road underdogs against AL Central opponents.
  • Bobby Witt Jr. has recorded at least one total base in each of the Royals’ last 12 games as road underdogs against AL Central opponents.
  • Salvador Perez has hit at least one home run in four of the Royals’ last five games as road underdogs against AL opponents.
  • Salvador Perez has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Royals’ last five games as road underdogs.
  • Bobby Witt Jr. has recorded a Double in three of the Royals’ last four games as road underdogs.
  • Paul DeJong has recorded a Single in each of his last four road appearances.

Kansas City Royals vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction

I’ll stay with the Royals. Lorenzen has a couple of good starts under his belt in the last pair, going 2-0 with just one earned over 12.2 combined frames. As for Williams, he’s given up eight earned over 8.1 innings across a pair of losses in his last two outings.

On Monday the Royals stormed back from a 3-0 first-inning deficit, scoring all nine of their runs in a five-inning span. The bullpen came through with 4.1 innings, no earned, two hits and two walks, with Daniel Lynch doing most of the work. I like KC to keep it up Tuesday.

Andrew Jett's Pick: Kansas City Royals +126

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