Houston Astros vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction MLB Picks 8/27/24

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Houston

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Philadelphia

-Recent betting trends in games played between Houston and Philadelphia

-A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between the Astros and Phillies. 

Astros Offense Needs to Bounce Back

The Astros offense on Monday only managed two runs and that led to the one-run defeat. Ronel Blanco went 5.2 innings, giving up seven hits and two runs. Two games ago against the Baltimore Orioles, they were able to secure a 6-3 victory. Zach Dezenzo finished with two hits and two RBIs. Yusei Kikuchi had a strong start going 5.2 innings giving up two hits and three runs. The Astros are averaging 4.57 runs, while their pitching is giving up 4.02 runs per game.

The offense is ranked 12th in the league, while the pitching is ranked 5th. Yordan Alveraz has hit 25 home runs and driven in 67 RBIs. Getting the start for the Astros will be Justin Verlander, who sits with a 3-3 record and an ERA of 3.92. In his last start against the Boston Red Sox, he went five innings giving up four hits and two runs. 

Why the Astros Will Beat the Phillies

• The Astros have won each of their last four games as underdogs against National League opponents following a road loss.
• The Phillies have lost four of their last five games as home favorites against American League opponents.
• The Astros have covered the run line in each of their last eight games as underdogs.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine home games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Phillies have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four games as home favorites against AL West opponents.

Phillies Pitching Dominated

The Phillies might not be getting the fanfare of teams like the New York Yankees, but they just keep winning games. On Monday Zack Wheeler had a strong start going six innings giving up six hits and two runs. The Phillies are averaging 4.91 runs, while their pitching is giving up 4.03 runs per game.

The offense is ranked 5th in the league, while the pitching is ranked 6th in the league. Kyle Schwarber has hit 28 home runs and driven in 82 RBIs. Getting the start for the Phillies in this game will be Aaron Nola. He sits with an 11-6 record and an ERA of 3.45. In his last start against the Atlanta Braves, he went 5.1 innings giving up six hits and two runs. 

Why the Phillies Will Beat the Astros 

• The Phillies have won 18 of their last 19 home games following an extra-innings win.
• The Astros have lost four of their last five games against National League opponents.
• The Phillies have covered the run line in each of their last five night games after going to extra innings.
• The Astros have failed to cover the run line each of their last seven Tuesday night games against National League opponents that held a winning record.

Houston Astros vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

These are two strong offenses, but this game is going to be all about the pitching. Verlander gave up two runs in his last start, and Nola was also strong as he gave up only two runs. Look for both teams to really step up with the pitching and neither team is going to reach the four-run mark and that will be the difference as the game is going to end up under the total. Back the under to cash here.