Houston Astros vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction 9/9/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

The Houston Astros and the Toronto Blue Jays meet Tuesday in MLB action from Rogers Centre. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Houston Astros will send out Luis Garcia for the start here and Garcia is 1-0 with a 4.50 ERA and 6 strikeouts this season. In his career, Garcia is 2-1 with a 2.88 ERA and 28 strikeouts against the Blue Jays. Toronto did not have a starting pitcher announced at the time that this article was posted.

Houston Astros Recap

The Houston Astros come into this game looking to bounce back from a 4-2 loss at the hands of the Texas Rangers last time out to sit at 78-66 this season. After this series, the Astros will head on the road for a series against the Atlanta Braves.

Astros Drop 6 Of Last 9

Jose Altuve has 142 hits including 22 doubles, 24 home runs and 69 RBIs. Jeremy Pena also has 137 hits with 26 doubles, 15 homers and 54 RBIs with 20 stolen bases as well. Jake Meyers has 15 doubles as well and Christian Walker has 22 home runs and 76 RBIs but has also accrued a team-high 156 strikeouts so far this season. Altuve also has 9 stolen bases while Jake Meyers has 15 stolen bases this season. Isaac Paredes also has 19 home runs with 50 RBIs of his own and Cam Smith has contributed 8 homers and 49 RBIs. Yainer Diaz has also chipped in 120 hits with 18 home runs, 60 RBIs and 20 doubles.

Toronto Blue Jays Recap

The Toronto Blue Jays come into this game looking to rebound from a 4-3 loss at the hands of the New York Yankees last time out to sit at 82-61 this season. After this series, the Blue Jays will head home for a series against the Baltimore Orioles.

Blue Jays Drop Back-To-Back Games

George Springer has 127 hits and Bo Bichette has 181 hits with Springer adding 27 home runs, a triple, 21 doubles and 72 RBIs while Bichette has 44 doubles, 18 home runs and 93 RBIs. Andres Gimenez has added 60 hits with 8 doubles and 7 home runs and 27 RBIs this season along with 12 stolen bases. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. also has 23 homers, 33 doubles and 79 RBIs while Springer also has a .301 batting average and 91 strikeouts up to this point in the year. Addison Barger’s chipped in 27 doubles with 19 home runs and 65 RBIs and Ernie Clement’s added 28 doubles as part of his 132 hits this season.

Houston Astros @ Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends: September 9, 2025

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Jose Berrios      Record this season: 9-5      ERA: 4.02
• Home Record: 4-2
• Last 5 against Astros: 3-1

Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win

• The Blue Jays have won nine of their last 10 home games against AL West opponents.
• The Astros have lost five of their last six road games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Blue Jays have covered the run line in 18 of their last 19 night games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Blue Jays have won the first inning in three of their last four night games against American League opponents.
• The Astros have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four road games against opponents that held a winning record.
• The Astros have trailed after 5 innings in six of their last seven games against opponents that held a winning record.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Luis Garcia      Record this season: 1-0      ERA: 4.50
• Road Record: 0-0
• Last 5 against Blue Jays: 2-1

Why the Houston Astros will win

• The Astros have won each of their last 11 night games against AL East opponents following a loss.
• The Blue Jays have lost seven of their last eight Tuesday games as home favorites against American League opponents.
• The Astros have covered the run line in each of their last nine games as underdogs against the Blue Jays following a loss.
• The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine Tuesday games as home favorites against American League opponents.
• The Astros have led after 3 innings in four of their last five road games against AL East opponents.
• The Astros have led after 5 innings in each of their last four games against the Blue Jays.
• The Astros have won the first inning in five of their last six games as road underdogs against AL East opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Blue Jays’ last seven home games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Six of the Astros’ last seven night games against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Astros’ last 10 games.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last nine night games against AL West opponents.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

• Daulton Varsho has hit a home run in each of the Blue Jays’ last two games as favorites.
• Bo Bichette has recorded a Double in each of his last five appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Bo Bichette has recorded at least one hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last 21 games as home favorites against AL opponents.
• Jose Berrios has recorded a win in each of his last four home appearances against the Astros.
• Bo Bichette ranks 1st in the league in Hits (181) this season.

Houston Astros Player Prop Facts

• Yordan Alvarez has hit a home run in three of the Astros’ last four road games against the Blue Jays.
• Luis Garcia has recorded a win in each of his last six appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Jake Meyers has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 18 road appearances against AL opponents.
• Luis Garcia has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last 22 appearances against AL opponents.
• Jeremy Pena ranks 5th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.304) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Blue Jays rank 1st in the league for hits this season (1315).
• The Blue Jays rank 1st in the league for batting average this season (.269).
• The Astros rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (1365).
• The Astros rank 26th in the league for triples this season (12).

Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays Prediction

I’m on the Blue Jays here. I get the case to be made for either side in this game, but I think Toronto has more to lose in this series, and the Astros haven’t necessarily been in the best form coming into this series. The Blue Jays are usually one of the better home teams in baseball this season and I think Toronto draws first blood here. Give me the Blue Jays in this one.