Houston Astros vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction MLB Picks 8/25/24

The Houston Astros and the Baltimore Orioles meet Sunday in MLB action from Camden Yards. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Houston Astros vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

Yusei Kikuchi will start this one for the Astros and is 6-9 with a 4.37 ERA and 161 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against Baltimore, Kikuchi is 2-0 with a 2.81 ERA and 31 strikeouts. Baltimore will start Dean Kremer here and Kremer is 6-9 with a 4.30 ERA and 91 strikeouts this season. In his career, Kremer is 3-0 with a 1.14 ERA and 14 strikeouts against the Astros.

Houston Astros Recap

The Houston Astros will try to earn the split with the Orioles after back-to-back defeats thanks to a 3-2 loss in Saturday’s matchup. The loss puts Houston at risk of back-to-back series losses if they can’t pick up a victory in Sunday’s finale after falling short against the Red Sox earlier this week.

Astros Pulling Away In AL West

Jose Altuve has 154 hits and a .306 batting average with 18 home runs, 56 RBIs and 22 doubles while Yordan Alvarez also has 25 homers with 67 RBIs and 29 doubles. Altuve has the Astros’ team lead with 18 stolen bases so far this season. Jeremy Pena also has 134 hits and a .277 batting average as well as 15 stolen bases of his own this season. Alex Bregman’s added 20 homers and 60 RBIs and 25 doubles also.

Why the Houston Astros will win

• The Astros have won five of their last six night games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards following a loss.
• The Orioles have lost five of their last six night games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards following a win.
• The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight night games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards following a win.
• The Astros have covered the run line in seven of their last eight road games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.

Baltimore Orioles Recap

The Baltimore Orioles will look to win the series with Houston after their win in Saturday’s matchup. The win gave Baltimore a chance at bouncing back from their series loss to the Mets earlier this week.

Orioles Looking To Regain AL East Lead

Gunnar Henderson leads the Orioles with 145 hits, along with 33 home runs, 78 RBIs and 6 triples but also has a team-high 132 strikeouts in addition to 15 stolen bases. Adley Rutschman has 122 hits with 18 home runs and 71 RBIs in addition to 17 doubles while Anthony Santander has 20 doubles with 38 home runs and 86 RBIs. Colton Cowser has 19 doubles and Ryan Mountcastle has 29 doubles and Jordan Westburg has 25 doubles. Cedric Mullins has also contributed a team-high 23 stolen bases as well this season.

Why the Baltimore Orioles will win

• The Orioles have won each of their last eight Sunday games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Astros have lost four of their last five games.
• The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last seven night games against the Astros following a home win.
• The Astros have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 night games against the Orioles following a loss.

Houston Astros vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction

I’m on the Astros here. The Astros have been burned by late runs in each of the last couple of games, but I think Yusei Kikuchi can put the ‘Stros in a good spot here. Houston’s been really successful in Kikuchi’s starts since being acquired and while Dean Kremer was a money machine last year, the Orioles haven’t been as successful in his starts this season. I think this is a nice spot for Houston to salvage a split, so give me the Astros in this one.