New York Mets vs San Diego Padres Prediction MLB Picks 8/25/24

San Diego Padres Betting Preview

The San Diego Padres are 73-58 this season and they have lost three of their last four games. San Diego won game two in this series by a score of 7-0 on Friday. Prior to this series, the Padres won two out of three against the Twins, lost two out of three against the Rockies, and swept the Pirates in three games. San Diego is 4-5 in their last nine games and they are third in the NL West. 

The San Diego pitching staff has a 3.98 ERA, a 1.23 WHIP, and a .242 opponent batting average. The Padres offense has scored 622 runs with a .266 batting average and a .326 on base percentage. Manny Machado is batting .268 with 20 home runs and 74 RBI’s for the Padres this season. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for New York is Jose Quintana, who is 6-9 with a 4.57 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP over 134.0 innings pitched this year. Quintana has allowed 7, 4, and 5 earned runs in his last three starts. The projected starting pitcher for San Diego is Martin Perez, who is 3-5 with a 4.67 ERA and a 1.50 WHIP over 106.0 innings pitched this season. Perez has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his four starts for the Padres. 

Why the Padres will beat the Mets

• The Mets have lost each of their last six Sunday day games.
• The Padres have won six of their last seven games at Petco Park following a loss.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight Sunday day games.
• The Padres have covered the run line in 11 of their last 14 day games against National League opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Padres' last eight day games as favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Mets' last four day games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Padres' last five home games against National League opponents.
• The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Mets' last five road games against National League opponents.

San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts

• Luis Campusano has hit a home run in two of his last three home appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Jurickson Profar has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances against the Mets at Petco Park.
• Jake Cronenworth has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five appearances against NL East opponents.
• Jackson Merrill has scored at least one run in 10 of the Padres' last 11 day games.
• Martin Perez has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances with his team as a favorite.
• Xander Bogaerts has recorded at least one Single in each of his last nine Sunday appearances with the Padres as favorites.
• Luis Arraez has recorded at least one hit in each of his 11 previous appearances in day games against NL teams that held a winning record.
• Luis Arraez has recorded at least one total base in each of his 11 previous appearances in day games against NL teams that held a winning record.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Francisco Lindor has hit a home run in two of the Mets' last three day games.
• Francisco Lindor has recorded a Double in three of the Mets' last four road games against NL opponents.
• Pete Alonso has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Mets' last five road games against NL West opponents.
• Francisco Lindor has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Mets' last five games as road underdogs.
• Francisco Lindor has recorded a Single in nine of the Mets' last 10 day games.
• Jose Quintana has recorded five or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances against NL opponents.
• Jose Iglesias has recorded at least one hit in nine of his last 10 road appearances against NL opponents.
• Jeff McNeil has scored a run in five of the Mets' last six games against the Padres.

New York Mets vs San Diego Padres Prediction 

New York has won two of the first three games in this series and they are looking for the series win here. The Mets are 33-29 on the road this year, while the Padres are 36-32 at home. San Diego is starting to fall behind in the race for the NL West, as they trail Arizona by 1.5 games for second place. The Padres are starting Martin Perez in this matchup, who has been outstanding since being traded to San Diego. The Mets are going with Jose Quintana, who has really struggled in his last three outings and faces a tough San Diego lineup here. My New York Mets vs San Diego Padres prediction is for the Padres to win and get the series split.