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Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins Prediction 4/11/25 MLB Picks

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Minnesota Twins (4-9) vs Detroit Tigers (7-5)

April 11, 2025 at 08:10 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Minnesota Twins -115 / Detroit Tigers -105 — Over/Under: 8

(Get latest betting odds)

The Detroit Tigers and Minnesota Twins meet on Friday in MLB action at Target Field. Here’s a Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins Prediction. This article will include a Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins Pick.

Detroit Tigers Betting Preview

The Detroit Tigers are 7-5 on the year and play the Brewers, Royals, and Padres next. The Detroit Tigers are batting .261 on the season, have a .342 OBP, and a .448 slugging percentage. The Detroit Tigers’ pitching staff has a 3.50 ERA and a 1.08 WHIP. Riley Greene leads the Detroit Tigers with 14 hits and 5 RBI, while Spencer Torkelson and Zach McKinstry have combined for 27 hits and 13 RBI. 

Reese Olson gets the ball for the Detroit Tigers, and he is 1-1 with a 5.06 ERA and 10 strikeouts this season. Olson is 2-1 with a 3.32 ERA and 24 strikeouts in his career against the Minnesota Twins.

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

The Minnesota Twins are 4-9 on the year and play the Mets, Braves, and White Sox next. The Minnesota Twins are batting .199 on the season, have a .270 OBP, and a .326 slugging percentage. The Minnesota Twins’ pitching staff has a 4.05 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP. Ty France leads the Minnesota Twins with 12 hits and 5 RBI, while Matt Wallner and Willi Castro have combined for 20 hits and 6 RBI.

David Festa gets the ball for the Minnesota Twins, and he was 2-6 with a 4.90 ERA and 77 strikeouts last season. This will be Festa’s second career game against the Detroit Tigers.

Why the Minnesota Twins will win

  • The home team has won six of the Tigers’ last seven games.
  • The Tigers have lost four of their last five road games following a loss.
  • The Twins have covered the run line in five of their last six night games against AL Central opponents.

Why the Detroit Tigers will win

  • The Tigers have won nine of their last 10 games as road underdogs against American League opponents following a loss.
  • The Twins have lost each of their last seven home games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Tigers have covered the run line in each of their last nine night games against AL Central opponents.
  • The Twins have failed to cover the run line each of their last seven games at Target Field against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Tigers have led after 5 innings in each of their last five night games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Tigers have led after 3 innings in four of their last five night games against the Twins at Target Field.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Twins rank 28th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.270).
  • The Twins rank 27th in the league for steals this season (5).
  • The Tigers rank T28th in the league for steals this season (4).
  • The Tigers rank 4th in the league for batting average this season (.261).

Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins Prediction

After getting swept by the Dodgers, the Tigers have found their footing and are putting together strong offensive performances. Olson was better in his last start and has been a promising young pitcher in his third season. The Twins just can’t catch a break, mainly due to an offense that’s scored four or fewer runs in nine of their first 13 games. The Twins are even less attractive in this spot, throwing out Festa, who has yet to pitch this season. As a rookie last year, Festa allowed 62 hits and 35 earned runs through 64.1 innings. This isn’t a spot I’m looking to back the Twins. I’ll grab the slightly better price with the Tigers, the team that’s playing the better baseball right now. 

Randy Chambers's Pick: Detroit Tigers -105

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