New York Mets vs Athletics Prediction 4/11/25 MLB Picks

The New York Mets and the Athletics meet on Friday in MLB action from Sutter Health Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a New York Mets vs. Athletics prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The New York Mets will send out Griffin Canning for the start here, and Canning is 0-1 with a 2.79 ERA and 10 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Athletics, Canning is 2-2 with a 4.78 ERA and 24 strikeouts. JP Sears will get the nod for the Athletics here and is 1-1 with a 3.46 ERA and 9 strikeouts this season. In his career, Sears is 0-1 with a 7.45 ERA and 5 strikeouts against the Mets.

New York Mets Recap

The New York Mets come into this game looking to build some steam after winning their series with the Miami Marlins despite a 5-0 loss in Wednesday’s series finale to slip to 8-4 on the year. After this series, the Mets will head on the road for a series against the Minnesota Twins.

Mets Have Six-Game Win Streak Snapped

Pete Alonso has a team-high 14 hits with 5 doubles, 3 home runs, 15 RBIs, and a .333 batting average, while Juan Soto has 12 hits with 4 doubles on the year. Francisco Lindor has 10 hits with a pair of stolen bases, while Brett Baty has the unfortunate title of leading the Mets with 11 strikeouts so far this season.

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Mets have won each of their last six games against American League opponents following a home loss.
• The Athletics have lost each of their last four home games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last four night games against AL West opponents following a home loss.
• The Athletics have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight Friday night games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Pete Alonso has hit a home run in four of the Mets’ last five road games against the Athletics.
• Griffin Canning has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances with his team as a favorite against the Athletics .
• Juan Soto has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances with his team as a road favorite against AL opponents.
• Griffin Canning has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last eight appearances with his team as a favorite against AL opponents.
• Pete Alonso has scored at least one run in each of the Mets’ last six road games against the Athletics.
• Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one Single in each of the Mets’ last eight games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
• Nick Madrigal has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances with his team as a favorite against AL West opponents.
• Tyrone Taylor has recorded a Double in four of the Mets’ last five games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Pete Alonso ranks 8th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.451) this season.

Athletics Recap

The Athletics come into this game looking to bounce back from their series loss at the hands of the San Diego Padres thanks to a 2-1 loss at the hands of the Padres in Wednesday’s finale to fall to 5-8 on the year. After this series, the Athletics will head on the road for a set against the Chicago White Sox.

Athletics Looking To Rebound

Jacob Wilson leads the Athletics with 19 hits and a .396 batting average, while Tyler Soderstrom has 17 hits with 6 home runs and 10 RBIs this season. Brent Rooker has 11 hits with 4 home runs and 8 RBIs but also has a team-high 17 strikeouts this season, while Max Muncy has 14 strikeouts. Lawrence Butler’s also chipped in a pair of stolen bases and 3 doubles.

Why the Athletics will win

• The Athletics have won each of their last four games as underdogs against NL East opponents following a loss.
• The Mets have lost four of their last five games as favorites against AL West opponents.
• The Athletics have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games as underdogs against NL East opponents following a loss.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven games as road favorites against AL West opponents.

Athletics Player Prop Facts

• Shea Langeliers has recorded a Double in each of his four previous appearances with the Athletics as home underdogs against the Mets.
• Seth Brown has recorded at least one RBI in each of his five previous appearances against the Mets.
• Miguel Andujar has scored a run in each of the Athletics’ last four night games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Seth Brown has hit a home run in each of his last two home appearances against the Mets.
• Miguel Andujar has recorded at least one Single in each of his last nine appearances with the Athletics as home underdogs.
• Lawrence Butler has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 appearances with the Athletics as underdogs against NL opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Athletics’ last seven games as home underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Mets’ last six games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.

New York Mets vs. Athletics Prediction

I’m looking at the over here. I think the Mets can get to JP Sears here, as Sears hasn’t gotten off to the strongest of starts to the year, while the Athletics have a strong history of beating up on Griffin Canning from Canning’s previous time with the Los Angeles Angels. I think this is going to be a surprisingly high-scoring game, so give me the over in this one.