Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins Prediction 4/11/25 MLB Picks

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Miami

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Washington

-Recent betting trends in games played between Miami and Washington

-A summary that ties it all together produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between the Marlins and Nationals. 

Nationals Have Been Competitive 

The Nationals have been competitive heading into this game, but they still have a 5-8 record, and there have been some games where they have just fallen short. On Wednesday, the Nationals didn’t score a run after the third inning, leading to a one-run defeat. Luis Garcia Jr. had a strong game, finishing with a hit and driving in two RBIs. Jake Irvin went six innings, giving up four hits and four runs. 

The Nationals are averaging 4.47 runs, while their pitching is giving up 4.83 runs per game. The offense is ranked 12th, while the defense is ranked 23rd. One bright spot is they are averaging 1.33 home runs per game, which is 5th best in the MLB. Getting the start for the Nationals will be Mitchell Parker, and he sits with a 2-0 record and an ERA of 0.73. In his last start against the Arizona Diamondbacks, he went six innings, giving up two hits and one run. 

Why the Nationals Will Beat the Marlins

• The Marlins have lost each of their last nine night games against National League opponents following a road win.
• The Nationals have won 10 of their last 11 night games following a home loss.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six night games against NL East opponents following a win.
• The Nationals have covered the run line in 10 of their last 11 night games following a home loss.
• The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in 11 of their last 13 games against National League opponents that held a losing record.

Can Marlins Build?

The Marlins are coming off a series loss against the New York Mets, but they were able to pick up a victory in the last game. The Marlins' pitching gave up zero runs, and that was enough for the five-run victory. Max Meyer looked good; he went 6.1 innings, giving up two hits and zero runs. If he can pitch like that all season, that’s a huge get for the Marlins. Matt Mervis had a huge game, finishing with a home run and driving in three RBIs. Two games ago, the Marlins scored five runs, but the pitching gave up ten runs. 

The Marlins are averaging 3.58 runs, while their pitching is giving up 4.5 runs per game. The offense is ranked 20th, while the defense is ranked 16th. Matt Mervis has hit three home runs and driven in seven RBIs. 

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Nationals' last six road games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the last three games between the Nationals and Marlins have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Nationals' last four night games at LoanDepot Park.
• The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in six of the last seven night games between the Nationals and Marlins at LoanDepot Park.

Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins Prediction

Give me the Nationals. This Nationals team is filled with fighters, and this team is going to cause a lot of teams some problems this season. In 12.1 innings so far this season, he has given up only one run in 12.1 innings. This Marlins offense is middle off the road, but they are going to really struggle to get any sort of thing. Parker will go at least seven innings, he won’t give up more than a run, and Washington is going to end up cruising here. Back the Nationals on the money line. I am also betting the Nationals -1.5 to cash.