Detroit Tigers vs LA Angels Prediction MLB Picks 6/27/24

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LA Angels (33-46) vs Detroit Tigers (37-43)

June 27, 2024 at 09:38 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: LA Angels +138 / Detroit Tigers -164 — Over/Under: 8.5

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In this article we will formulate a Detroit Tigers vs LA Angels prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, June 27th at Angel Stadium in Anaheim, California. To formulate this prediction for game one in the series, we will examine:

  • The Tigers recent form and recent player performance 
  • The Angels recent form and recent play performance
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Detroit
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Los Angeles 
  • Recent betting trends in games played between Detroit and Los Angeles
  • A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Detroit and Los Angeles

Tigers Continue Their Offensive Woes 

The Detroit Tigers are 37-43 this season and they have lost three of their last five games. Detroit is coming off of a series loss against Philadelphia, where they lost two out of three games. Prior to that series, the Tigers won two out of three against the White Sox, lost all three against the Braves, and lost two out of three against the Astros. Detroit is 3-7 in their last 10 games and they are fourth in the AL Central. 

The Detroit pitching staff has a 3.84 ERA, a 1.21 WHIP, and a .242 opponent batting average. The Tigers offense has scored 327 runs with a .231 batting average and a .297 on base percentage. Riley Greene is batting .259 with 15 home runs and 41 RBI’s for the Tigers this season. Detroit has scored two runs or fewer in eight of their last ten games. 

Angels are Heating Up 

The Los Angeles Angels are 33-46 this year and they have won four of their last five games. Los Angeles is coming off of a series win against Oakland, where they won all three games by scores of 5-1, 7-5, and 5-2. Prior to this series, the Angels split two games with the Dodgers, lost two out of three against the Brewers, and won two out of three against the Giants. Los Angeles is 7-4 in their last 11 games and they are fourth in the AL West. 

The Los Angeles pitching staff has a 4.68 ERA, a 1.35 WHIP, and a .244 opponent batting average. The Angels offense has scored 324 runs with a .236 batting average and a .303 on base percentage. Taylor Ward is batting .245 with 14 home runs and 41 RBI’s for the Angels this season. Los Angeles has allowed three runs or fewer in four of their last seven games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Jack Flaherty, who is 5-4 with a 2.92 ERA and a 0.97 WHIP over 83.1 innings pitched this year. Flaherty has allowed a total of one earned run in his last four starts (22.1 IP). The projected starting pitcher for Los Angeles is Davis Daniel, who is making his first appearance of the season. Daniel has a 5.33 ERA over 76.0 innings in Triple-A this year. 

Why the Detroit Tigers will beat the LA Angels

  • The Tigers have won each of their last six games against American League opponents following a home loss.
  • The Angels have lost eight of their last nine games against AL Central opponents.
  • The Tigers have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 road games following a home loss.
  • The Angels have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four night games against AL Central opponents following a win.
  • The Tigers have led after 3 innings in each of their last three games against the Angels.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Tigers’ last four road games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Three of the last four games between the Tigers and Angels have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Tigers’ last three night games against AL West opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Angels’ last five Thursday night games against AL Central opponents.

Los Angeles Angels Player Prop Facts

  • Mike Trout has recorded an RBI in each of his last four appearances against the Tigers at Angel Stadium of Anaheim.
  • Zach Neto has recorded a Double in three of the Angels’ last four games at Angel Stadium of Anaheim against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Luis Rengifo has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances against the Tigers at Angel Stadium of Anaheim.
  • Anthony Rendon has recorded at least one Single in each of his last four appearances.
  • Mike Trout has scored at least one run in each of his last four appearances against the Tigers at Angel Stadium of Anaheim.
  • Mike Trout has hit a home run in each of his last four appearances against the Tigers at Angel Stadium of Anaheim.
  • Luis Rengifo has recorded at least one total base in each of his last seven home appearances against the Tigers.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

  • Kerry Carpenter has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five appearances against AL West opponents.
  • Andy Ibanez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last six appearances after playing the previous day.
  • Andy Ibanez has recorded a Single in five of his last six appearances after playing the previous day.
  • Kerry Carpenter has scored at least one run in five of his last six appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Jack Flaherty has recorded eight or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
  • Jack Flaherty has recorded a win in each of his last four road appearances.
  • Kerry Carpenter has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances with the Tigers against AL opponents.
  • Kerry Carpenter has recorded at least one total base in each of his last six appearances against AL West opponents.

Detroit Tigers vs LA Angels Prediction 

Detroit comes into this series in a huge offensive funk, as they have struggled to score more than two runs over the last week. On the bright side for Detroit, they will have Flaherty on the mound, who has been fantastic over his last four starts. Los Angeles is just 15-25 at home, but they have played better baseball over the last 11 games. I don’t love the pitching situation for the Angels and I think it’s a great spot for Detroit to put some runs up. My Detroit Tigers vs LA Angels prediction is for the Tigers to win. 

David Racey's Pick: Tigers ML

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