Detroit Tigers vs Atlanta Braves Prediction MLB Picks 6/18/24

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Atlanta Braves (38-31) vs Detroit Tigers (34-37)

June 18, 2024 at 07:20 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Atlanta Braves -170 / Detroit Tigers +156 — Over/Under: 9.5

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The Atlanta Braves and the Detroit Tigers meet Tuesday in MLB action from Truist Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Detroit Tigers vs Atlanta Braves Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Atlanta Braves will start Spencer Schwellenbach here and Schwellenbach is 0-2 with a 6.32 ERA and 12 strikeouts this season. This will be Schwellenbach’s first career start against Detroit. The Detroit Tigers will trot out Casey Mize here and Mize is 1-4 with a 4.43 ERA and 43 strikeouts this season. This will be Mize’s first career start against the Braves.

Atlanta Braves Recap

The Atlanta Braves come into this one looking to build some steam after their 2-1 win to kick off the series on Monday. The win was just what the Braves were looking for, as Atlanta was coming off of a strong effort in their weekend series against the Tampa Bay Rays.

Braves Trying To Keep Ball Rolling

Marcell Ozuna leads the Braves with 84 hits including 20 home runs and 62 RBIs while Orlando Arcia has 17 doubles and Ozzie Albies has a team-high 20 doubles, logging 65 hits as well this season. Ronald Acuna Jr. has a team-high 16 stolen bases as well this season but is now out for the season with a torn ACL. Matt Olson has 19 doubles with a team-high 74 strikeouts and Austin Riley has 13 doubles with a pair of triples.

Why the Atlanta Braves will win

  • The Tigers have lost seven of their last eight night games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Braves have won each of their last five night games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five night games against NL East opponents.
  • The Braves have covered the run line in four of their last five night games against American League opponents that held a losing record.

Detroit Tigers Recap

The Detroit Tigers come into this one looking to bounce back after starting the series with a loss at the hands of the Braves in Monday’s matchup. The loss was not the opening effort that the Tigers wanted to make after consecutive series losses to the Houston Astros and Washington Nationals over the last week.

Tigers Scuffling Offensively

Riley Greene leads the Tigers with 67 hits including 14 home runs and 37 RBIs along with 14 doubles, a .254 batting average and a .349 OBP in addition to a team-high 81 strikeouts this season. Mark Canha has 13 doubles, 6 home runs and 29 RBI and Javier Baez has a team-high 6 stolen bases. Matt Vierling also has 58 hits as well as 4 triples while Wenceel Perez has 5 triples and Kerry Carpenter has 10 doubles and 4 triples of his own with 29 RBIs.

Why the Detroit Tigers will win

  • The Braves have lost four of their last five games as home favorites following a home win.
  • The Tigers have won five of their last six Tuesday games as underdogs.
  • The Tigers have covered the run line in each of their last seven games as underdogs against NL East opponents following a loss.
  • The Braves have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games as home favorites against AL Central opponents.
  • The Tigers have won the first inning in each of their last four Tuesday games as underdogs against National League opponents.

Detroit Tigers vs Atlanta Braves Prediction

I’m on the under here. I just can’t expect a ton of runs from the Tigers here as the Tigers have really taken a step back against right-handed pitching in recent weeks, and look like the Tigers of the last couple of seasons that were barely able to drum up any sort of offense against righties. On the other side, the Braves have had offensive issues of their own when it comes to consistency, but they’ve been finding a way no matter what and I think if it’s a close game or a blowout, we have a low enough scoring output to cash the under here. Give me the under.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Under 9.5

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