Cubs vs Marlins Prediction 9/5/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Cubs vs Marlins prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, September 5th at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Chicago Cubs Betting Preview

The Chicago Cubs are 80-62 this season after they won game one by a score of 6-1 last night. Chicago scored the first five runs in the game and they picked up the relatively easy win. The Cubs recorded nine hits in the game and they were led by Ramirez, who went 0-3 with two RBIs. Imanaga allowed three hits and one earned run over 6.0 innings for the win, while Civale picked up the save. Prior to this series, Chicago split four games with the Brewers and lost two out of three against the Reds. 

This season, Chicago has a 4.16 ERA with a 1.26 WHIP and a .244 opponent batting average, while they have scored 759 runs with a .251 batting average and a .339 on base percentage. Pete Crow-Armstrong has led the Cubs with 39 home runs and 93 RBIs, while Dansby Swanson has added 18 home runs and 66 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Javier Assad, who is 6-1 with a 3.46 ERA and a 1.10 WHIP over 83.1 innings pitched this season. 

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 71-71 this year after they lost game one by a score of 1-6 on Friday night. Miami never had a chance in this game, but they scored once in the seventh to avoid the shutout. The Marlins recorded four hits in the game and they were led by Ruiz, who went 0-4 with one RBI. Junk allowed three hits and one earned run over 5.0 innings for the loss, while Ralston allowed three earned runs in relief. Prior to this series, Miami won two out of three against the Royals, but lost three out of four against the Nationals before that. 

This season, Miami has a 3.97 ERA with a 1.26 WHIP and a .232 opponent batting average, while they have scored 616 runs with a .247 batting average and a .325 on base percentage. Otto Lopez has led the Marlins with 10 home runs and 62 RBIs, while Owen Caissie has added 13 home runs and 52 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Ryan Gusto, who is 1-3 with a 3.86 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP over 67.2 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Miami Marlins will win

• The Marlins have won eight of their last 10 home games against NL opponents.
• The Cubs have lost four of their last five day games following a road win.
• The Marlins have covered the run line in six of their last seven day games against NL Central opponents following a home loss.
• The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last 10 day games against the Marlins following a road win.

Why the Chicago Cubs will win

• The Marlins have lost nine of their last 10 games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Cubs have won eight of their last nine games against NL East opponents.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight home games against NL opponents following a home loss.
• The Cubs have covered the run line in 10 of their last 12 road games against NL opponents following a win.
• The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games against NL opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Four of the Cubs’ last five day games against NL opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Three of the Marlins’ last four home games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in 13 of the Marlins’ last 14 games against NL Central opponents.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in 11 of the Cubs’ last 12 games against NL East opponents.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Kyle Stowers has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances against the Cubs.
• Heriberto Hernandez has hit a home run in three of the Marlins’ last five day games.

Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts

• Alex Bregman has recorded at least one hit in each of the Cubs’ last eight games against NL opponents.
• Seiya Suzuki has hit at least one home run in four of the Cubs’ last nine games against the Marlins.

Cubs vs Marlins Prediction 

Chicago was able to start this series with a win on Friday night and they have allowed one run in back to back games. The Cubs are 39-31 on the road this year, while the Marlins are 42-28 at home. Miami has split their last four games and they have allowed 6+ runs in four of their last five. The Marlins are starting Gusto, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in five straight starts, while Assad has allowed four earned runs in his last 18.0 innings of work. Take the Marlins to get the win here.

David Racey's Pick: Marlins ML