Cleveland Guardians vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction MLB Picks 7/26/24

The Cleveland Guardians and the Philadelphia Phillies meet Friday in MLB action from Citizens Bank Park. Here’s a Cleveland Guardians vs Philadelphia Phillies prediction. This will be the first installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game. We will examine:

The Philadelphia Phillies recent form and player performance

The Cleveland Guardians recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Philadelphia Phillies

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Cleveland Guardians

Recent betting trends in games played between the Phillies and Guardians

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Phillies vs Guardians game

Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview

The Guardians just finished up against the Detroit Tigers. Cleveland lost the first game of that set, then won the next pair 5-4 and 2-1. On Thursday the Guardians fell in a shutout 3-0. Cleveland gave up all three runs in the second inning.

In the starter slot for the Guardians on Friday it’ll be Ben Lively. This year Lively is 8-6 with a 3.57 ERA in 17 starts. Lively is 16-23 with a 4.59 ERA in 62 career games (49 starts).

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

Over on the Phillies’ side, they played the Minnesota Twins this week. Philadelphia won 3-0 Tuesday but otherwise lost the Monday and Wednesday games. In a 5-4 loss during the finale, the Phillies got 6.0 innings with one earned run from Aaron Nola as starter.

Christopher Sanchez will start for the Phillies on Friday. This year Sanchez is 7-5 with a 2.97 ERA in 19 starts. Sanchez is 13-12 with a 3.66 ERA in 60 career games (41 starts). The Phillies will meet the Yankees after this series.

Guardians vs Phillies Pick Injury Notes

The Phillies optioned SS Rodolfo Castro to Triple-A Lehigh Valley this week.

Total Runs Facts

• Six of the Guardians’ last seven road games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Four of the last five games between the Guardians and Phillies have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Guardians’ last three road games.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Trea Turner has hit a home run in three of his last four home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Nick Castellanos has recorded a Double in five of the Phillies’ last six games as favorites.
• Trea Turner has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against the Guardians.
• Trea Turner has recorded at least one Single in each of the Phillies’ last six home games against AL Central opponents.
• Nick Castellanos has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 16 appearances against the Guardians after not playing the previous day.
• Trea Turner has scored at least one run in eight of his last nine home appearances against AL opponents.
• Trea Turner has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances at Citizens Bank Park against opponents that held a winning record.

Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts

• Jose Ramirez has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Guardians’ last five games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Jose Ramirez has recorded at least one Single in each of the Guardians’ last six night games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Jose Ramirez has hit a home run in three of the Guardians’ last six night games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Steven Kwan has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances against NL East opponents.
• Steven Kwan has scored at least one run in each of the Guardians’ last four night games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Steven Kwan has recorded at least one total base in each of his last eight appearances against NL East opponents.

Cleveland Guardians vs Philadelphia Phillies

I’ll lean toward the Phillies here. I could go either way, though. Sanchez started out July with a rough seven earned in 4.0 innings during a loss to the Cubs. In his two starts since then however, Sanchez is 1-1 with four earned in 11.2 innings. As for Lively, he’s 0-2 with four earned over his last 10.2 innings in the past two starts.

Philadelphia has scored pretty well lately. They’ve got three or more runs in six of the last eight games. So long as Sanchez can post a quality start, Philly should have a good shot here.