Cleveland Guardians vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction MLB Picks 6/25/24

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Baltimore Orioles (49-29) vs Cleveland Guardians (50-26)

June 25, 2024 at 06:35 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Baltimore Orioles -145 / Cleveland Guardians +125 — Over/Under: 9.5

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In this article we will formulate a Cleveland Guardians vs Baltimore Orioles prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, June 25th at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland. To formulate this prediction for game two in the series, we will examine:

  • The Guardians recent form and recent player performance 
  • The Orioles recent form and recent play performance
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Cleveland
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Baltimore
  • Recent betting trends in games played between Cleveland and Baltimore
  • A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Cleveland and Baltimore 

Guardians Going for Seventh Straight Win

The Cleveland Guardians are 50-26 this season and they have won six games in a row. Cleveland won the first game in this series by a score of 3-2 on Monday night. Prior to this series, the Guardians swept the Blue Jays in three games, won two out of three against the Mariners, and lost two out of three against the Blue Jays. Cleveland is 10-4 in their last 14 games and they are leading the AL Central. 

The Cleveland pitching staff has a 3.44 ERA, a 1.18 WHIP, and a .226 opponent batting average. The Guardians offense has scored 382 runs with a .244 batting average and a .320 on base percentage. Jose Ramirez is batting .276 with 20 home runs and 69 RBI’s for the Guardians this season. Cleveland has scored at least six runs in five of their last six games. 

Orioles are Looking for Answers

The Baltimore Orioles are 49-29 this year and they have lost four games in a row. Baltimore dropped game one in this series and their offense continues to be missing over the last three games. Prior to this series, the Orioles lost all three against the Astros, won two out of three against the Yankees, and won two out of three against the Phillies. Baltimore is 4-7 in their last 11 games and they are second in the AL East. 

The Baltimore pitching staff has a 3.37 ERA, a 1.16 WHIP, and a .222 opponent batting average. The Orioles offense has scored 405 runs with a .252 batting average and a .312 on base percentage. Gunnar Henderson is batting .278 with 24 home runs and 53 RBI’s for the Orioles this season. Baltimore has scored two runs or fewer in three straight games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Cole Irvin, who is 6-3 with a 3.45 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP over 73.0 innings pitched this year. Irvin has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last five starts, but has allowed eight earned runs in his last two outings. The projected starting pitcher for Cleveland is Logan Allen, who is 8-3 with a 5.23 ERA and a 1.48 WHIP over 75.2 innings pitched this season. Allen has allowed two earned runs or fewer in two of his last three starts. 

Why the Baltimore Orioles will beat the Cleveland Guardians

  • The Orioles have won eight of their last nine home games against American League opponents following a home loss.
  • The Guardians have lost each of their last six games as underdogs against the Orioles following a road win.
  • The Guardians have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as road underdogs against the Orioles following a road win.
  • The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last five games as home favorites against the Guardians following a home loss.

Total Runs Facts

  • Six of the Guardians’ last seven games as road underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Four of the Orioles’ last five games as favorites against the Guardians have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Orioles’ last five games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Guardians’ last three night games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

  • Anthony Santander has recorded at least one RBI in eight of the Orioles’ last nine games against the Guardians.
  • Adley Rutschman has recorded a Double in four of his last five appearances at Oriole Park at Camden Yards against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Gunnar Henderson has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight Tuesday appearances against teams that held a winning record.
  • Gunnar Henderson has scored at least one run in each of the Orioles’ last six night games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Gunnar Henderson has hit a home run in three of the Orioles’ last four games as home favorites against AL Central opponents.
  • Gunnar Henderson has recorded at least one total base in each of the Orioles’ last 11 games as home favorites.
  • Gunnar Henderson has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 home appearances.

Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts

  • Jose Ramirez has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Guardians’ last six road games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Jose Ramirez has recorded at least one Single in each of the Guardians’ last six road games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Jose Ramirez has scored at least one run in each of the Guardians’ last seven games.
  • Jose Ramirez has hit a home run in each of the Guardians’ last two games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Jose Ramirez has recorded at least one total base in each of the Guardians’ last 13 night games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Jose Ramirez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Guardians’ last 13 night games against AL opponents that held a winning record.

Cleveland Guardians vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction 

Baltimore has struggled offensively over their last few games, but they continue to be one of the highest scoring teams in the MLB this season. The Orioles are also very good at home, going 25-15, while Cleveland is 24-17 on the road. The Guardians have been great to start this season as well, but Logan Allen leaves a little to be desired. Allen has an elevated WHIP and he has walked at least three batters in each of his last three starts. I think this Orioles lineup will wake up here and my Cleveland Guardians vs Baltimore Orioles prediction is for the Orioles to win. 

David Racey's Pick: Orioles ML

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