Brewers vs Orioles Prediction 9/18/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Brewers vs Orioles prediction for this MLB game on Friday, September 18th at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers are 95-58 this season after they won two out of three against the Pirates by scores of 5-1, 5-4, and 4-7. In game three, Milwaukee cut the deficit to 5-4 in the eighth inning, but allowed two in the bottom of the eighth to seal the loss. The Brewers recorded nine hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Naylor, who went 1-3 with one home run and two RBIs. Harrison allowed four hits and four earned runs over 1.2 innings for the loss, while Ashby allowed two earned runs in relief. Prior to that series, Milwaukee won two out of three against the Reds and all three against the Cubs. 

This season, Milwaukee has a 3.58 ERA with a 1.19 WHIP and a .224 opponent batting average, while they have scored 792 runs with a .259 batting average and a .342 on base percentage. Jake Bauers has led the Brewers with 26 home runs and 83 RBIs, while Brice Turang has added 19 home runs and 93 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is Dustin May, who is 7-9 with a 4.49 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP over 138.1 innings pitched this season. 

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 75-78 this year after they swept the Mets in three games by scores of 2-1, 7-5, and 7-1. In game three, Baltimore led 6-0 in the third inning and they cruised to the easy win. The Orioles recorded nine hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Basallo, who went 2-4 with one home run and two RBIs. Bassitt allowed five hits and one earned run over 6.2 innings for the win, while Cano threw an inning in relief. Prior to that series, Baltimore lost two out of three against the Blue Jays, but did win two out of three against the Guardians before that. 

This season, Baltimore has a 4.14 ERA with a 1.35 WHIP and a .254 opponent batting average, while they have scored 688 runs with a .234 batting average and a .315 on base percentage. Pete Alonso has led the Orioles with 37 home runs and 102 RBIs, while Gunnar Henderson has added 23 home runs and 58 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Cade Povich, who is 2-1 with a 4.05 ERA and a 1.44 WHIP over 33.1 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Baltimore Orioles will win

• The Orioles have won each of their last four games as underdogs against NL opponents.
• The Brewers have lost three of their last five games as road favorites against AL East opponents.
• The Orioles have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games as underdogs against NL opponents following a win.
• The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four road games after playing the previous day.
• The Orioles have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games against NL opponents.

Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win

• The Brewers have won seven of their last eight night games against AL East opponents following a road loss.
• The Orioles have lost each of their last five games against the Brewers following a win.
• The Brewers have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games against AL opponents following a road loss.
• The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight night games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• The Brewers have led after 5 innings in five of their last six night games against the Orioles.
• The Orioles have lost the first inning in three of their last four night games against opponents that held a winning record.
• The Orioles have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four games as home underdogs against NL opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Brewers’ last five road games against AL opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Five of the Orioles’ last six games against NL opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Brewers’ last nine games as favorites against AL opponents.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in eight of the Orioles’ last nine home games against NL opponents.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

• Cade Povich has recorded five or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight appearances at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
• Pete Alonso has hit a home run in three of the Orioles’ last four games as underdogs against NL opponents.
• Christian Encarnacion-Strand has recorded two or more hits in each of the Orioles’ last three games against NL Central opponents.

Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts

• Jackson Chourio has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 16 appearances with the Brewers as road favorites against AL opponents.
• William Contreras has hit a home run in three of the Brewers’ last four night games against opponents that held a losing record.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Orioles rank 27th in the league for batting average this season (.234).
• The Orioles rank 4th in the league for walks this season (560).
• The Brewers rank 2nd in the league for runs scored this season (788).
• The Brewers rank T29th in the league for home runs this season (146).

Brewers vs Orioles Prediction 

Baltimore comes into this matchup after an impressive sweep against the Mets and they are trying to get back to .500. The Orioles are 36-39 at home this year, while the Brewers are 43-32 on the road. Milwaukee has won three of their last five games and they have scored 5+ runs in all three of those wins. The Brewers are starting May, who has allowed two earned runs in his last 9.2 innings, while Povich has allowed 3+ earned runs in three of his last five outings. Take the Brewers to get another win here.

David Racey's Pick: Brewers ML