Phillies vs Mets Prediction 9/18/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Phillies vs Mets prediction for this MLB game on Friday, September 18th at Citi Field in Queens, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 85-68 this season after they won game one by a score of 3-0 on Thursday night. Philadelphia scored once in the fifth, seventh, and eighth innings for the low scoring win. The Phillies recorded eight hits in the game and they were led by Harper, who went 3-4 with one RBI. Nola allowed three hits and zero earned runs over 7.0 innings for the win, while Duran picked up the save. Prior to this series, Philadelphia split two games with the Nationals and lost two out of three against the Braves. 

This season, Philadelphia has a 3.96 ERA with a 1.28 WHIP and a .246 opponent batting average, while they have scored 684 runs with a .242 batting average and a .312 on base percentage. Kyle Schwarber has led the Phillies with 45 home runs and 95 RBIs, while Bryce Harper has added 28 home runs and 84 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is TBD. 

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 69-84 this year after they lost game one by a score of 0-3 on Thursday night. New York fell behind in the fifth inning and never woke up at the plate for the shutout loss. The Mets recorded four hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Vientos, who went 1-2. McLean allowed seven hits and one earned run over 6.0 innings for the loss, while Myers allowed one earned run in relief. Prior to this series, New York lost all three against the Orioles and two out of three against the Yankees. 

This season, New York has a 4.16 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP and a .241 opponent batting average, while they have scored 650 runs with a .237 batting average and a .308 on base percentage. Juan Soto has led the Mets with 25 home runs and 61 RBIs, while Bo Bichette has added 16 home runs and 74 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Zac Thornton, who is 4-5 with a 3.44 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP over 73.1 innings pitched this year. 

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Mets have won six of their last seven games against NL East opponents.
• The Phillies have lost five of their last six games following a win.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven games as road underdogs against NL opponents following a win.
• The Mets have covered the run line in five of their last six games against the Phillies at Citi Field following a loss.

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

• The Mets have lost each of their last four games as home favorites.
• The underdogs have won five of the Mets’ last six games at Citi Field.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six night games at Citi Field following a loss.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Mets’ last four games.
• The Phillies have led after 5 innings in five of their last six night games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Mets’ last five games as favorites against the Phillies have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Three of the Phillies’ last four games as underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in five of the Phillies’ last six games.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in five of the last six games between the Phillies and Mets at Citi Field.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Luis Torrens has hit a home run in five of his last nine appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Bo Bichette has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine home appearances against the Phillies after playing the previous day.
• Zach Thornton has recorded five or more strikeouts in six of his eight previous appearances at Citi Field.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Alec Bohm has recorded at least one hit in each of the Phillies’ last 11 games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Edmundo Sosa has hit a home run in each of his last two road appearances against opponents that held a losing record.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Mets rank 25th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.393).
• The Mets rank T6th in the league for strikeouts this season (1372).
• The Phillies rank 6th in the league for walks allowed this season (459).
• The Phillies rank 23rd in the league for on-base percentage this season (.312).

Phillies vs Mets Prediction 

Philadelphia was able to start this series with a win on Thursday night and they have allowed zero runs in their last two games. The Phillies are 44-34 on the road this year, while the Mets are 34-44 at home. New York has lost five in a row and they have scored one or fewer runs in four of those five. The Mets are starting Thornton, who has allowed 2, 6, 2, 1, and 3 earned runs in his last five starts, while the Phillies have not announced their starter. Take the Phillies here, as they are the better team and I don’t really trust Thornton.

David Racey's Pick: Phillies ML