Pick details
| MATCHUP | Boston Red Sox | Los Angeles Angels |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 39-48 | 36-54 |
| Spread | -1.5 104 | +1.5 -126 |
| Moneyline | -163 | +135 |
| Total | Over 8 (-114) | Under 8 (-105) |
| Where | Angel Stadium, Anaheim, California | |
| When | Sunday, July 5, 2026 | |
| Time | 09:30 PM EDT | |
| TV | Peacock | |
Boston Red Sox Betting Preview
The Boston Red Sox are 39-48 on the year and play the White Sox and Mets next. The Boston Red Sox are batting .243 on the season, have a .312 OBP, and have a .385 slugging percentage. The Boston Red Sox pitching staff has a 3.76 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP. Ceddanne Rafaela leads the Boston Red Sox with 88 hits and 36 RBI, while Wilyer Abreu and Willson Contreras have combined for 173 hits and 97 RBI.
Ranger Suarez gets the ball for the Boston Red Sox, and he is 4-3 with a 2.94 ERA and 92 strikeouts this season. This will be Suarez’s second career game against the Los Angeles Angels.
Los Angeles Angels Betting Preview
The Los Angeles Angels are 36-54 on the year and play the Rangers and Twins next. The Los Angeles Angels are batting. 237 on the season, have a .314 OBP, and have a .391 slugging percentage. The Los Angeles Angels’ pitching staff has a 4.64 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP. Jo Adell leads the Los Angeles Angels with 83 hits and 45 RBI, while Zach Neto and Nolan Schanuel have combined for 146 hits and 74 RBI.
Ryan Johnson gets the ball for the Los Angeles Angels, and he is 1-3 with a 7.40 ERA and 18 strikeouts this season. This will be Johnson’s first career game against the Boston Red Sox.
Why the Los Angeles Angels will win
- The underdogs have won three of the Red Sox’s last four games.
- The Red Sox have lost five of their last seven games as favorites against AL West opponents following a win.
- The Angels have covered the run line in 22 of their last 25 games as underdogs against American League opponents following a home loss.
- The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in 13 of their last 15 games as favorites against the Angels following a win.
Why the Boston Red Sox will win
- The Red Sox have won each of their last six games against American League opponents.
- The Angels have lost each of their last five games against American League opponents.
- The Angels have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven Sunday home games against AL East opponents.
- The road team has covered the run line in each of the Red Sox’s last four games.
- The Angels have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six home games against AL East opponents.
- The Angels have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five home games against AL East opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Four of the Angels’ last five games as underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Four of the Red Sox’s last five games as favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in seven of the Red Sox’s last eight games as favorites.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in 16 of the Angels’ last 20 games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
Los Angeles Angels Player Prop Facts
- Josh Lowe has hit a home run in two of the Angels’ last three games at Angel Stadium of Anaheim.
- Josh Lowe has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances at Angel Stadium of Anaheim.
Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts
- Willson Contreras has hit at least one home run in each of the Red Sox’s last two games as favorites against AL West opponents.
- Ranger Suarez has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last three appearances with the Red Sox as favorites.
- Romy Gonzalez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances with the Red Sox as road favorites.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Angels rank 24th in the league for ERA this season (4.64).
- The Angels rank 7th in the league for strikeouts this season (794).
- The Red Sox rank T29th in the league for RBIs this season (335).
- The Red Sox rank 28th in the league for walks this season (255).
Boston Red Sox vs Los Angeles Angels Prediction
Those who have followed me over the years know I blindly fade the Angels. That shouldn’t stop now. The Angels continue to pile up the losses, and Johnson has a 7.40 ERA and 1.52 WHIP through 24.1 innings. No thanks. Suarez has been solid with a 2.94 ERA and 1.13 WHIP through 88.2 innings. Suarez is coming off a June in which he allowed 25 hits and 7 earned runs in 30 innings. On the road through 46.2 innings, Suarez has a 2.12 ERA and a .215 allowed batting average. I’m rolling with the Red Sox as my fade of the Angels continues.
