Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres Prediction MLB Picks 7/5/24

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San Diego Padres (47-43) vs Arizona Diamondbacks (42-44)

July 5, 2024 at 09:40 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: San Diego Padres -118 / Arizona Diamondbacks +100 — Over/Under: 8.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Arizona Diamondbacks and the San Diego Padres meet Friday in MLB action from Petco Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Arizona Diamondbacks will send out Slade Cecconi for the start here and Cecconi is 2-6 with a 5.81 ERA and 48 strikeouts this season. In his career, Cecconi is 0-1 with a 9.35 ERA and 7 strikeouts against San Diego. The San Diego Padres will start Randy Vasquez here and is 2-4 with a 4.88 ERA and 32 strikeouts this season. This will be Vasquez’s second career start against the Diamondbacks.

Arizona Diamondbacks Recap

The Arizona Diamondbacks come into this one looking to build on their series win over the Los Angeles Dodgers after picking up a 9-3 win over L.A. in Thursday’s series finale. The win made it back-to-back series wins for Los Serpientes after knocking off the A’s last weekend.

Diamondbacks Trying To Keep Ball Rolling

Ketel Marte leads the Diamondbacks with 95 hits in addition to a .288 batting average and 19 doubles with 17 home runs and 51 RBIs while Lourdes Gurriel Jr. also has 12 home runs and 53 RBIs as well this season. Corbin Carroll has a team-high 15 stolen bases while Eugenio Suarez has 96 strikeouts this season. Christian Walker also has 22 home runs with a team-high 62 RBIs of his own in addition to 89 strikeouts this season.

Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will win

  • The Diamondbacks have won each of their last four games after playing the previous day.
  • The Padres have lost four of their last five home games against the Diamondbacks following a win.
  • The Diamondbacks have covered the run line each of their last six night games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Padres have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six home games against the Diamondbacks following a win.

San Diego Padres Recap

The San Diego Padres come into this one looking to keep their momentum going after another series win thanks to a 3-1 win in Thursday’s series finale. The win kept the run going for the Padres, who have taken down the Red Sox and Nationals over the last week and a half as well.

Padres Making Run Going Into Second Half

Jurickson Profar has 97 hits along with a .317 batting average and 15 doubles with 12 homers and 56 RBIs. Jake Cronenworth has 53 RBIs while Fernando Tatis Jr. has belted a team-high 14 home runs, 86 hits, 71 strikeouts and 8 stolen bases as well this season, but is out of the lineup because of injury. Manny Machado has 11 home runs and 47 RBIs but also has 72 strikeouts while Ha-Seong Kim has 67 hits with 3 triples, 10 doubles, 10 home runs, 39 RBIs and a team-high 17 stolen bases.

Why the San Diego Padres will win

  • The Padres have won each of their last six home games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Diamondbacks have lost nine of their last 11 games at Petco Park following a road win.
  • The Padres have covered the run line in each of their last six Friday games against National League opponents.
  • The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight Friday night games at Petco Park.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres Prediction

I’m on the over here. Both of these teams are coming in off of strong offensive showings, with the Diamondbacks loading up against the Dodgers and the Padres on a run in recent games, and I’m not really fond of the starting pitching matchup of Cecconi vs. Vasquez. All in all, I think this is just going to end up being a high-scoring matchup, so give me the over here.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Over 8.5

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