Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees Prediction MLB Picks 7/5/24

New York Yankees (54-34) vs Boston Red Sox (46-39)

Game Info: Friday, July 5, 2024 at 7:05 pm (Yankee Stadium)

Nestor Cortes (4-7) (3.51) vs Tanner Houck (7-6) (2.67)

Betting Odds: New York Yankees -141 / Boston Red Sox +119 --- Over/Under: 8 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Boston Red Sox and the New York Yankees meet Friday in MLB action from Rogers Centre. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Boston Red Sox will send out Tanner Houck for the start here and Houck is 7-6 with a 2.67 ERA and 105 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Yankees, Houck is 1-1 with a 3.09 ERA and 20 strikeouts. Nestor Cortes will start for the Yankees in this one and is 4-7 with a 3.51 ERA and 98 strikeouts this season. In his career, Cortes is 2-0 with a 3.32 ERA and 20 strikeouts against Boston.

Boston Red Sox Recap

The Boston Red Sox come into this one looking to build on their series sweep of the Miami Marlins thanks to a 6-5 win in Thursday’s series finale. The win was a welcome sight for the Red Sox who were coming in off of a series loss to the San Diego Padres the series prior.

Red Sox Looking To Keep Momentum Going

Jarren Duran leads the Red Sox with 102 hits along with 21 stolen bases, 23 doubles, 10 triples and 88 strikeouts and also has 40 RBIs so far this season. Wilyer Abreu has 17 doubles and Ceddanne Rafaela also has 47 RBIs while Rafael Devers has 80 hits with 16 doubles, 18 home runs, 51 RBIs and a .288 batting average this season. Tyler O’Neill also has 16 home runs and 30 RBIs as well while David Hamilton has a team-high 23 stolen bases this season.

Why the Boston Red Sox will win

  • The Red Sox have won each of their last eight road games after playing the previous day.
  • The Yankees have lost eight of their last nine games as favorites.
  • The underdogs have covered the run line in nine of the Yankees' last 10 games.
  • The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games as favorites.

New York Yankees Recap

The New York Yankees come into this set in dire need of a bounce back after their series loss to the Cincinnati Reds, getting swept at home following an 8-4 loss in Thursday’s series finale. The loss meant the series winless run for the Yankees is still going after splitting with the Blue Jays and losing to the New York Mets in the last week and a half alone.

Yankees Trying To Right The Ship

Juan Soto has 91 hits along with 12 doubles and 21 home runs with 63 RBIs to go along with a .300 batting average and .438 OBP. Aaron Judge has a team-high 32 home runs and 83 RBIs of his own along with a team-leading 23 doubles while also posting 95 strikeouts so far this season. Anthony Volpe’s added 94 hits with 6 home runs, 7 triples, 30 RBIs and a team-high 15 stolen bases as well this season. Alex Verdugo has 19 doubles and 43 RBIs and Giancarlo Stanton also has 18 home runs, 45 RBIs and 90 strikeouts this season.

Why the New York Yankees will win

  • The Red Sox have lost each of their last six night games following an extra innings win.
  • The Yankees have won each of their last seven Friday night games against American League opponents.
  • The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four night games following an extra innings win.
  • The Yankees have covered the run line in nine of their last 11 night games against American League opponents that held a winning record.

Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees Prediction

I’m on the Red Sox here. I get that this Yankee slide won’t last forever and a lot of times, you can throw the record book out the window when the Red Sox and Yankees square off. However, Houck’s been better on the road this season as have the Red Sox, and the Yankees are just in free fall right now to the point that I don’t want to be laying any sort of price with them. Now Cortes has also been decent at home, but the Yankees have a losing record in his starts and I think the Red Sox show up here. Give me Boston.

Chris’s Pick Boston +119

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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