Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction 4/11/25 MLB Picks

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Toronto

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Baltimore

-Recent betting trends in games played between Toronto and Baltimore

-A summary that ties it all together produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between the Blue Jays and Orioles. 

Blue Jays Fell Short

The Blue Jays faced off against the Boston Red Sox on Thursday, and they ended up falling just short. The Blue Jays scored two runs in the 7th inning, but the one run they gave up in the 8th was the difference, as they ended up losing. Catcher Tyler Heineman had a strong game, finishing with three hits and one RBI. Nick Sandlin blew it, going only 0.1 innings and giving up two hits and one run. 

The Blue Jays are averaging 3.77 runs per game, while their pitching is giving up 3.46 runs per game. The offense is ranked 17th in the league, while the defense is ranked 5th. Getting the start for the Blue Jays will be Bowden Francis, who has a 1-1 record and an ERA of 3.18. Against the New York Mets, he went 5.1 innings, giving up two runs. 

Why the Blue Jays Will Beat the Orioles

• The Blue Jays have won each of their last five night games against American League opponents.
• The Orioles have lost each of their last four games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards against teams that held a winning record.
• The Blue Jays have covered the run line in each of their last eight road games after playing the previous day.
• The Orioles have failed to cover the run line each of their last four games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards against teams that held a winning record.
• The Blue Jays have led after 5 innings in three of their last four games against opponents that held a losing record.

Slow Start for the Orioles

It’s been a slow start for the Orioles, and they really looked bad on Wednesday. The Orioles faced off against the Arizona Diamondbacks, and they scored zero runs while the pitching gave up nine. Dean Kremer was not good, and he went 4.2 innings, giving up eight hits and six runs. The offense managed only four runs total. On Tuesday, they were a little more competitive, but they still ended up losing 4-3. 

The Orioles are averaging 4.23 runs, while their pitching is giving up 4.69 runs per game. The offense is ranked 15th in the league, while the defense is ranked 21st. Getting the start for the Orioles will be Tomoyuki Sugano, and he sits with a 1-1 record and an ERA of 2.89. In his last start against the Kansas City Royals, he went 5.1 innings, giving up five hits and one run. They are going to need him to be really good in this game to find success. 

Why the Orioles Will Beat the Blue Jays

• The Orioles have won each of their last seven night games against the Blue Jays following a road loss.
• The Blue Jays have lost each of their last five road games after going to extra innings.
• The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last eight night games against AL East opponents following a road loss.
• The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line each of their last four night games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Blue Jays have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five night games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards against AL East opponents.
• The Blue Jays have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction

The Blue Jays and Orioles are going to be involved in a strong pitching game here. Francis has been strong this season, and he sits with a 3.18 ERA. I also trust Sugano, who gave up only one run in his last start. Especially the Blue Jays' offense, I really am not sold. The Blue Jays scored three runs on Thursday, and they are going to struggle to get to that number here. A classic pitchers' duel, and this game is going to end up under the total.