Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction MLB Picks 9/19/24

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays are 74-78 this season and they have lost three of their last four games. Tampa Bay won game one in this series by a score of 8-3 on Tuesday night. Prior to this series, the Rays split four games with the Guardians, lost all three against the Phillies, and won two out of three against the Orioles. Tampa Bay is 3-6 in their last nine games and they are fourth in the AL East. 

The Tampa Bay pitching staff has a 3.86 ERA, a 1.21 WHIP, and a .237 opponent batting average. The Rays offense has scored 579 runs with a .231 batting average and a .304 on-base percentage. Yandy Diaz is batting .282 with 14 home runs and 65 RBI’s for the Rays this season. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Brayan Bello, who is 14-7 with a 4.60 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP over 152.2 innings pitched this year. Bello has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts. The projected starting pitcher for Tampa Bay is Zack Littell, who is 7-9 with a 3.73 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP over 144.2 innings pitched this season. Littell has allowed one earned run or fewer in four of his last five starts. 

Why the Red Sox will beat the Rays

• The Rays have lost five of their last six games as home favorites against AL East opponents.
• The underdogs have won four of the Red Sox's last five games at Tropicana Field.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in 13 of the Rays' last 14 games at Tropicana Field.
• The Rays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as home favorites against AL East opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Rays' last six games after playing the previous day has gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Six of the Red Sox's last seven games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Rays' last five games.
• The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Red Sox's last five road games.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

• Josh Lowe has recorded at least one hit in each of the Rays' last six games as home favorites.
• Jose Siri has scored a run in three of his last four appearances with the Rays as favorites.
• Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one Single in seven of his last eight appearances with the Rays as favorites.
• Brandon Lowe has hit a home run in three of the Rays' last four Thursday night games.
• Josh Lowe has recorded at least one total base in each of the Rays' last six games as home favorites.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

• Jarren Duran has recorded at least one Single in eight of the Red Sox's last nine games as underdogs.
• Rafael Devers has hit a home run in seven of his last 14 appearances against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Jarren Duran has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Red Sox's last four games as underdogs against the Rays.
• Trevor Story has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
• Connor Wong has recorded at least one hit in 12 of his last 13 road appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Rafael Devers has scored at least one run in each of the Red Sox's last four games as underdogs against the Rays.

Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction 

Boston was able to pick up a much-needed win in game two of this series on Wednesday night and they need just about every win they can get, as they are a few games out of the last wild card spot in the AL. Boston is 41-36 on the road, while Tampa Bay is 38-39 at home this year. The Rays' offense continues to be dreadful, as they are now the second-worst scoring team in baseball this season. The Red Sox have played well with Bello on the mound for most of this season and I like them to pick up another win here.