San Francisco Giants vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction MLB Picks 9/19/24

Baltimore Orioles (84-68) vs San Francisco Giants (74-78)

Game Info: Thursday, September 19, 2024 at 1:05 pm (Oriole Park at Camden Yards)

Zach Eflin (10-9) (3.55) vs Logan Webb (12-10) (3.53)

Betting Odds: Baltimore Orioles -135 / San Francisco Giants +115 --- Over/Under: 7.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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In this article, we will formulate a San Francisco Giants vs Baltimore Orioles prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, September 19th at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland. To formulate this prediction for game three in the series, we will examine:

  • The Giants' recent form and recent player performance 
  • The Orioles' recent form and recent play performance
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving San Francisco 
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Baltimore 
  • Recent betting trends in games played between San Francisco and Baltimore
  • A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between San Francisco and Baltimore

San Francisco Giants Betting Preview

The San Francisco Giants are 74-78 this year and they have lost four of their last six games. San Francisco has won the first two games in this series by scores of 10-0 and 5-3. Prior to this series, the Giants lost all three against the Padres, lost two out of three against the Brewers, and won two out of three against the Padres. San Francisco is 6-10 in their last 16 games and they are fourth in the NL West. 

The San Francisco pitching staff has a 4.14 ERA, a 1.30 WHIP, and a .247 opponent batting average. The Giants' offense has scored 648 runs with a .238 batting average and a .306 on-base percentage. Heliot Ramos is batting .266 with 21 home runs and 69 RBI’s for the Giants this season.

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 84-68 this season and they have lost three games in a row. Baltimore has dropped the first two games in this series and they have allowed 15 runs in the two games. Prior to this series, the Orioles lost two out of three against the Tigers, lost two out of three against the Red Sox, and lost two out of three against the Rays. Baltimore is 2-8 in their last 10 games and they are second in the AL East. 

The Baltimore pitching staff has a 3.95 ERA, a 1.24 WHIP, and a .239 opponent batting average. The Orioles' offense has scored 730 runs with a .247 batting average and a .314 on-base percentage. Gunnar Henderson is batting .281 with 37 home runs and 87 RBI’s for the Orioles this season. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for San Francisco is Logan Webb, who is 12-10 with a 3.53 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP over 193.2 innings pitched this year. Webb has allowed at least three earned runs in four straight starts. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Zach Eflin, who is 10-9 with a 3.55 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP over 154.2 innings pitched this season. Eflin has allowed one earned run or fewer in four of his last five starts. 

Why the Orioles will beat the Giants 

  • The Giants have lost seven of their last eight road games against AL East opponents following a win.
  • The Orioles have won four of their last five-day games against National League opponents following a loss.
  • The Giants have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six-day games against AL East opponents following a win.
  • The Orioles have covered the run line in four of their last five games as favorites against NL West opponents following a loss.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Giants' last four games against AL East opponents has gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Twelve of the Orioles' last 14 home games against NL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Giants' last five road games against American League opponents.
  • The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Orioles' last three games against National League opponents.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

  • Zach Eflin has recorded six or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances with his team as a home favorite.
  • Ryan O'Hearn has recorded a Single in five of the Orioles' last six games as home favorites against NL West opponents.
  • Jordan Westburg has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last six home appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Colton Cowser has hit a home run in three of the Orioles' last four Thursday games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Jordan Westburg has recorded a Double in five of his last six appearances at Oriole Park at Camden Yards against NL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Jordan Westburg has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five home appearances against NL West opponents.
  • James McCann has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances in day games.
  • Jordan Westburg has scored a run in each of the Orioles' last six Thursday-day games.

San Francisco Giants Player Prop Facts

  • Mike Yastrzemski has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Giants' last four road games against AL East opponents.
  • Mark Canha has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances against AL East opponents.
  • Mike Yastrzemski has scored at least one run in each of the Giants' last five games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
  • Logan Webb has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last 12 road appearances against AL opponents.
  • LaMonte Wade Jr has recorded at least one Single in seven of the Giants' last eight games.
  • Mike Yastrzemski has hit a home run in each of the Giants' last three road games against AL East opponents.
  • Wilmer Flores has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.
  • Mark Canha has recorded at least one total base in each of his last eight appearances against AL East opponents.

San Francisco Giants vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction 

Baltimore comes into this matchup trying to avoid being swept, but they are playing some of their worst baseball of the season right now. The Orioles are 42-35 at home, while the Giants are 33-41 on the road. San Francisco has struggled away from home this year and they came into this series with very little momentum, but they have rolled in the first two games. Both of these pitchers have decent numbers on the season, but Eflin has been lights out recently. Take Baltimore to avoid the sweep here. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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