Arizona Diamondbacks vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction MLB Picks 9/19/24

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Milwaukee Brewers (87-64) vs Arizona Diamondbacks (83-68)

September 19, 2024 at 07:15 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Milwaukee Brewers -115 / Arizona Diamondbacks -103 — Over/Under: 8

(Get latest betting odds)

The Arizona Diamondbacks and Milwaukee Brewers meet Thursday in MLB game 1 action at American Family Field. Here’s an Arizona Diamondbacks vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction. This article will include an Arizona Diamondbacks vs Milwaukee Brewers Pick.

Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview

The Arizona Diamondbacks are 84-68 on the year after playing the Brewers and Rockies. The Arizona Diamondbacks have scored 13 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 6 of their last 9 games. The Arizona Diamondbacks have won 5 of their last 6 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Ketel Marte leads the Arizona Diamondbacks with 136 hits and 87 RBI, while Eugenio Suarez and Lourdes Gurriel Jr. have combined for 268 hits and 167 RBI. The Diamondbacks will take on the Giants after this series.

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers are 86-64 on the year after playing the Diamondbacks and Phillies. The Milwaukee Brewers have scored 9 runs in their last 3 games and 3 or fewer runs in 7 of their last 10 games. The Milwaukee Brewers have won 4 of their last 6 games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. William Contreras leads the Milwaukee Brewers with 160 hits and 90 RBI, while Willy Adames and Brice Turang have combined for 278 hits and 163 RBI.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Milwaukee Brewers Pitching Pick Matchup

Brandon Pfaadt gets the ball for the Arizona Diamondbacks, and he is 9-9 with a 4.81 ERA and 160 strikeouts this season. Pfaadt has allowed 23 hits and 15 runs in his last 12 innings. Pfaadt has a 4.59 ERA and a .255 allowed batting average in 86.1 road innings. This will be Pfaadt’s second career game against the Milwaukee Brewers.

Tobias Myers gets the ball for the Milwaukee Brewers, and he is 8-5 with a 3.07 ERA and 115 strikeouts this season. Myers has allowed 21 hits and 7 earned runs in his last 17.2 innings. Myers has a 3.08 ERA and a .219 allowed batting average in 61.1 home innings. This will be Myers’ second career game against the Arizona Diamondbacks.

Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts

  • William Contreras has hit a home run in four of the Brewers’ last five games at American Family Field against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
  • Jackson Chourio has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Brewers’ last six games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
  • Willy Adames has recorded at least one Single in seven of his last eight appearances against the Diamondbacks at American Family Field.
  • Jackson Chourio has recorded two or more total bases in each of his six previous Thursday appearances.
  • Jackson Chourio has recorded at least one hit in each of the Brewers’ last seven night games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
  • Christian Yelich has scored at least one run in each of his last four appearances against NL West opponents at American Family Field.

Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts

  • Geraldo Perdomo has recorded a Double in three of the Diamondbacks’ last four games as favorites against NL Central opponents.
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit a home run in three of the Diamondbacks’ last four road games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Gabriel Moreno has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six appearances with the Diamondbacks as road favorites.
  • Corbin Carroll has scored at least one run in 10 of the Diamondbacks’ last 11 games as road favorites against NL opponents.
  • Gabriel Moreno has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances in night games.
  • Josh Bell has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last five appearances with the Diamondbacks as favorites against NL opponents.
  • Eugenio Suarez has recorded at least one total base in each of the Diamondbacks’ last nine road games against opponents that held a winning record.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Milwaukee Brewers rank 4th in the league for runs scored this season (735).
  • The Milwaukee Brewers rank 4th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.328).
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks rank 1st in the league for slugging percentage this season (.441).
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks rank 1st in the league for on-base percentage this season (.337).

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction

Two capable offenses in the Diamondbacks and Brewers, and at least one pitcher who has been hit or miss all year. Brandon Pfaadt isn’t having a great month of September, where he’s allowed 23 hits and 15 runs in his last 12 innings. The over has hit in 6 of the last 9 games between the Diamondbacks and Brewers. I expect some runs in this series opener between two teams that are still playing for something. Give me the over. 

Randy Chambers's Pick: Over 8

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