Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets Prediction MLB Picks 9/19/24

New York Mets (83-68) vs Philadelphia Phillies (91-60)

Game Info: Thursday, September 19, 2024 at 7:15 pm (Citi Field)

Luis Severino (10-6) (3.92) vs Taijuan Walker (3-6) (6.29)

Betting Odds: New York Mets -135 / Philadelphia Phillies +115 --- Over/Under: 7.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Philadelphia Phillies and New York Mets meet Thursday in MLB game 1 action at Citi Field. Here’s a Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets Prediction. This article will include a Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets Pick.

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 91-61 on the year after playing the Mets and Brewers. The Philadelphia Phillies have scored 8 runs in their last 3 games and 3 or fewer runs in 7 of their last 10 games. The Philadelphia Phillies have split their last 6 games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Alec Bohm leads the Philadelphia Phillies with 149 hits and 90 RBI, while Bryce Harper and Nick Castellanos have combined for 288 hits and 165 RBI.

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 84-68 on the year after playing the Phillies and Nationals. The New York Mets have scored 22 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 7 games. The New York Mets have won 11 of their last 12 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Francisco Lindor leads the New York Mets with 163 hits and 86 RBI, while Pete Alonso and Brandon Nimmo have combined for 261 hits and 167 RBI.

Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets Pitching Pick Matchup

Taijuan Walker gets the ball for the Philadelphia Phillies, and he is 3-6 with a 6.29 ERA and 55 strikeouts this season. Walker has allowed 10 hits and 4 earned runs in his last 8 innings. Walker has a 7.03 ERA and a .343 allowed batting average in 32 road innings. Walker is 1-3 with a 3.18 ERA and 30 strikeouts in his career against the New York Mets.

Luis Severino gets the ball for the New York Mets, and he is 10-6 with a 3.77 ERA and 149 strikeouts this season. Severino has allowed 14 hits and 5 runs in his last 19.2 innings. Severino has a 2.86 ERA and a .231 allowed batting average in 91.1 home innings. Severino is 1-0 with a 2.08 ERA and 14 strikeouts in his career against the Philadelphia Phillies.

Why the New York Mets will win

  • The Mets have won each of their last eight night games against NL East opponents.
  • The Phillies have lost eight of their last nine games at Citi Field against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last six night games against NL East opponents following a win.
  • The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games against NL East opponents.
  • The Phillies have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four games at Citi Field against NL East opponents that held a winning record.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

  • Luis Severino has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances with the Mets as favorites against NL East opponents.
  • J.D. Martinez has recorded at least one RBI in five of his last six appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a winning record.
  • Luis Severino has recorded six or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances against NL East opponents.
  • Jose Iglesias has recorded at least one Single in each of the Mets' last seven games.
  • Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one total base in each of the Mets' last 10 night games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Francisco Lindor has scored at least one run in each of the Mets' last six night games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mets' last 10 night games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Tyrone Taylor has recorded a Double in each of the Mets' last four games as favorites.
  • Harrison Bader has hit a home run in each of the Mets' last two night games against NL opponents that held a winning record.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

  • J.T. Realmuto has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances with the Phillies as road underdogs against NL opponents.
  • Kyle Schwarber has hit at least one home run in four of his last nine appearances in night games.
  • J.T. Realmuto has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five appearances with the Phillies as underdogs against NL opponents.
  • Taijuan Walker has recorded four or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Trea Turner has scored at least one run in six of his last seven appearances against the Mets after playing the previous day.
  • Bryson Stott has recorded at least one Single in each of the Phillies' last seven road games.
  • J.T. Realmuto has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last four appearances with the Phillies as underdogs.
  • Alec Bohm has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances with the Phillies as underdogs.
  • Trea Turner ranks 9th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.299) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The New York Mets rank 28th in the league for walks allowed this season (552).
  • The New York Mets rank 5th in the league for home runs this season (194).
  • The Philadelphia Phillies rank 4th in the league for doubles this season (270).
  • The Philadelphia Phillies rank 4th in the league for batting average this season (.258).

Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets Prediction

The Philadelphia Phillies aren't stringing together runs the way they should have given the lineup, and Taijuan Walker has been a complete mess this season. The New York Mets are one of the hotter teams in baseball, the offense has caught fire and Luis Severino has pitched his best this season at Citi Field. I'm not trying to step in front of the Mets in their current form. I'll lay the cheap price with the home team.

Randy’s Pick New York Mets -135

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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