Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction MLB Picks 9/19/24

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Cleveland Guardians (87-65) vs Minnesota Twins (80-71)

September 19, 2024 at 01:10 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Cleveland Guardians -109 / Minnesota Twins -110 — Over/Under: 8.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Minnesota Twins and Cleveland Guardians meet Thursday in MLB game 4 action at Progressive Field. Here’s a Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction. This article will include a Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Guardians Pick.

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

The Minnesota Twins are 80-72 on the year and play the Red Sox and Marlins next. The Minnesota Twins have scored 11 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 6 of their last 8 games. The Minnesota Twins have won 4 of their last 6 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Willi Castro leads the Minnesota Twins with 132 hits and 57 RBI, while Carlos Santana and Jose Miranda have combined for 231 hits and 114 RBI.

Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview

The Cleveland Guardians are 88-65 on the year and play the Cardinals and Reds next. The Cleveland Guardians have scored 10 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 6 of their last 10 games. The Cleveland Guardians have won 11 straight games when scoring 4 or more runs. Jose Ramirez leads the Cleveland Guardians with 161 hits and 107 RBI, while Andres Gimenez and Steven Kwan have combined for 277 hits and 103 RBI.

Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Guardians Pitching Pick Matchup

Simeon Woods Richardson gets the ball for the Minnesota Twins, and he is 5-5 with a 4.08 ERA and 109 strikeouts this season. Richardson has allowed 14 hits and 8 runs in his last 11 innings. Richardson has a 4.25 ERA and a .263 allowed batting average in 65.2 road innings. Richardson is 0-1 with a 2.19 ERA and 9 strikeouts in his career against the Cleveland Guardians.

Joey Cantillo gets the ball for the Cleveland Guardians, and he is 2-3 with a 4.99 ERA and 31 strikeouts this season. Cantillo has allowed 5 hits and 1 run in his last 12 innings. Cantillo has a 2.53 ERA and a .225 allowed batting average in 10.2 home innings. This will be Cantillo’s second career game against the Minnesota Twins.

Why the Cleveland Guardians will win

  • The Twins have lost eight of their last nine games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Guardians have won 10 of their last 11-day games against the Twins following a win.
  • The Guardians have covered the run line in each of their last seven-day games following a win.
  • The Twins have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine-day games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.

Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts

  • Jose Ramirez has hit at least one home run in nine of the Guardians’ last 30 games as favorites.
  • Josh Naylor has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Guardians’ last three-day games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
  • Josh Naylor has scored at least one run in six of the Guardians’ last seven games as favorites against the Twins.
  • Jose Ramirez has recorded a single in each of the Guardians’ last six-day games.
  • Jose Ramirez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Guardians’ last 11 games against AL opponents.
  • Jose Ramirez has recorded at least one total base in each of the Guardians’ last 11 games.
  • Jose Ramirez ranks T8th in the league in Home Runs (35) this season.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

  • Carlos Santana has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances in day games against AL teams that held a winning record.
  • Carlos Correa has recorded at least one RBI in seven of his last eight appearances with the Twins as underdogs.
  • Byron Buxton has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last seven appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.
  • Carlos Correa has scored at least one run in six of his last seven road appearances after playing the previous day.
  • Jose Miranda has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven Thursday-day appearances.
  • Max Kepler has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances at Progressive Field.
  • Max Kepler has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Cleveland Guardians rank 4th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.231).
  • The Cleveland Guardians rank 4th in the league for hits allowed this season (1169).
  • The Minnesota Twins rank 2nd in the league for walks allowed this season (392).
  • The Minnesota Twins rank 3rd in the league for strikeouts this season (1378).

Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction

Simeon Woods Richardson has been hit or miss all season, and the same can be said for Joey Cantillo in a smaller sample size. The deciding factor is the Cleveland Guardians are coming off a nice walkoff win yesterday, and that can have a carry-over effect with a quick turnaround. You can make a case for either playoff team in what has been a fun series, but I have to lean toward the Guardians at home with the quick turnaround. 

Randy Chambers's Pick: Cleveland Guardians -109

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