San Diego Padres vs Colorado Rockies Prediction MLB Picks 8/17/24

Colorado Rockies Betting Preview

The Colorado Rockies are 45-78 this year and they have lost three of their last four games. Colorado won game one in this series by a score of 7-3 on Friday night. Prior to this series, the Rockies lost all three against the Diamondbacks, won two out of three against the Braves, and lost two out of three against the Mets. Colorado is 3-6 in their last nine games and they are last in the NL West. 

The Colorado pitching staff has a 5.57 ERA, a 1.52 WHIP, and a .287 opponent batting average. The Rockies offense has scored 528 runs with a .245 batting average and a .306 on base percentage. Ezequiel Tovar is batting .272 with 19 home runs and 55 RBI’s for the Rockies this season. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for San Diego is Dylan Cease, who is 11-9 with a 3.41 ERA and a 1.01 WHIP over 142.2 innings pitched this year. Cease has allowed two earned runs or fewer in five straight starts. The projected starting pitcher for Colorado is Kyle Freeland, who is 3-4 with a 5.75 ERA and a 1.49 WHIP over 67.1 innings pitched this season. Freeland has allowed three earned runs or more in three of his last four starts. 

Why the Padres will beat the Rockies

• The Padres have won 15 of their last 16 night games after playing the previous day.
• The Rockies have lost each of their last six games following a home win.
• The Padres have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 road games against NL West opponents following a road loss.
• The Rockies have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five night games following a home win.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Padres' last eight night games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Five of the Rockies' last six night games against NL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Padres' last three games.
• The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the last three night games between the Padres and Rockies at Coors Field.

Colorado Rockies Player Prop Facts

• Brenton Doyle has scored at least one run in seven of the Rockies' last eight games as underdogs against the Padres.
• Brenton Doyle has recorded a Single in each of the Rockies' last four games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
• Brendan Rodgers has recorded two or more total bases in eight of his last nine appearances at Coors Field against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
• Kyle Freeland has recorded three or more strikeouts in nine of his last 10 appearances.
• Brendan Rodgers has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 21 appearances at Coors Field against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
• Brendan Rodgers has hit a home run in each of the Rockies' last two games as home underdogs against NL West opponents.
• Jacob Stallings has recorded an RBI in four of his last five appearances with the Rockies as underdogs against NL West opponents.

San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts

• Jackson Merrill has recorded at least one RBI in six of his last seven road appearances against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
• Dylan Cease has recorded eight strikeouts in four of his last five appearances against NL West opponents.
• Luis Arraez has recorded two or more total bases in seven of his last eight road appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Jurickson Profar has recorded at least one Single in nine of his last 10 appearances against the Rockies at Coors Field.
• David Peralta has recorded at least one Double in each of the Padres' last three road games against NL opponents.
• Fernando Tatis Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine Saturday night appearances against NL teams that held a losing record.
• Ha-Seong Kim has hit a home run in each of the Padres' last two games against the Rockies at Coors Field.
• Fernando Tatis Jr. has scored at least one run in each of his last six road appearances against NL West opponents.
• Luis Arraez ranks 5th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.308) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Colorado Rockies rank 30th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.287).
• The Colorado Rockies rank 30th in the league for hits allowed this season (1233).
• The San Diego Padres rank 1st in the league for strikeouts against this season (818).
• The San Diego Padres rank 2nd in the league for strikeouts this season (1113).

San Diego Padres vs Colorado Rockies Prediction

San Diego picked up a rare loss in game one of this series on Friday, as they have been the hottest team in the MLB over the last month. The Padres are 36-25 on the road this year, while the Rockies are 28-32 at home. Colorado may have one of the worst records in baseball this year, but they have been very competitive at home. The Rockies are starting Kyle Freeland, who has been pretty good since returning from injury, but he left his last start with a blister that could be an issue here. San Diego is going with Dylan Cease, who has been the best pitcher in baseball since mid-July. I know Coors Field can be an adventure, but I have to back the Padres here. My San Diego Padres vs Colorado Rockies prediction is for San Diego to win by at least two runs.