Cincinnati Reds vs Atlanta Braves Prediction MLB Picks 7/22/24

Braves are Still Not Close to Philly 

The Atlanta Braves are 54-44 this season and they have lost three of their last five games. Atlanta is coming off of a series loss against St. Louis, where they lost two out of three games. Prior to that series, the Braves won two out of three against the Padres, split four games with the Diamondbacks, and won two out of three against the Phillies. Atlanta is 3-5 in their last eight games and they trail the Phillies by 8.5 games in the NL East. 

The Atlanta pitching staff has a 3.46 ERA, a 1.19 WHIP, and a .235 opponent batting average. The Braves offense has scored 417 runs with a .242 batting average and a .304 on base percentage. Marcell Ozuna is batting .308 with 28 home runs and 79 RBI’s for the Braves this season. Atlanta has scored three runs or fewer in four of their last seven games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Hunter Greene, who is 6-4 with a 3.34 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP over 110.1 innings pitched this year. Greene has allowed one earned run or fewer in three straight starts. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Reynaldo Lopez, who is 7-3 with a 1.88 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP over 95.2 innings pitched this season. Lopez has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts. 

Why the Braves will beat the Reds 

• The Braves have won nine of their last 10 games against the Reds following a loss.
• The Reds have lost each of their last four games.
• The Reds have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games against National League opponents.
• The Braves have covered the run line in four of their last five games as home favorites against NL Central opponents following a loss.

Why the Reds will beat the Braves

• The Reds have won three of their last four games as road underdogs.
• The Braves have lost four of their last six games as home favorites against National League opponents following a home loss.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Reds' last eight games at Truist Park.
• The Braves have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games against NL Central opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Braves' last six games as favorites against the Reds have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Reds' last five night games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Reds' last seven games as road underdogs.
• The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Braves' last three games as home favorites against NL Central opponents.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

• Matt Olson has hit at least one home run in four of the Braves' last five games as favorites against the Reds.
• Austin Riley has recorded at least one Double in four of the Braves' last five games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Ozzie Albies has recorded a Single in each of the Braves' last 11 games at Truist Park against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Ozzie Albies has scored at least one run in each of the Braves' last six games against the Reds.
• Eddie Rosario has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 14 home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 21 appearances at Truist Park against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Ronald Acuna Jr. has recorded at least one RBI in eight of his last nine appearances against NL Central opponents at Truist Park.
• Marcell Ozuna ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.593) this season.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

• Jeimer Candelario has hit at least one home run in three of his last five appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
• Jonathan India has recorded at least one Double in each of the Reds' last four road games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Jeimer Candelario has recorded at least one RBI in five of his last six appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
• Elly De La Cruz has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine appearances.
• Jonathan India has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a winning record.
• Santiago Espinal has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six appearances against NL East opponents.
• TJ Friedl has scored at least one run in each of the Reds' last five games as underdogs against the Braves.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Atlanta Braves rank 2nd in the league for ERA this season (3.46).
• The Atlanta Braves rank 4th in the league for doubles this season (181).
• The Cincinnati Reds rank 27th in the league for batting average this season (.230).
• The Cincinnati Reds rank 5th in the league for triples this season (20).

Cincinnati Reds vs Atlanta Braves Prediction 

Atlanta comes into this game second in the NL East standings, but they are still not very close to Philadelphia and they are dealing with quite a few injuries. The Braves are 30-19 at home, while the Reds are 22-25 on the road. Cincinnati is on a four game losing streak and they have struggled for a good portion of this season. The Reds are starting Hunter Greene, who has been very good in recent outings. The Braves are rolling with Lopez, who has one of the best ERA’s in all of baseball. This is a great pitching matchup and with Atlanta dealing with injuries, I think we could see a lower scoring game. My Cincinnati Reds vs Atlanta Braves prediction is for this game to go under the total.