Philadelphia Phillies vs Minnesota Twins Prediction MLB Picks 7/22/24

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Minnesota Twins (54-42) vs Philadelphia Phillies (62-35)

July 22, 2024 at 07:40 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Minnesota Twins / Philadelphia Phillies — Over/Under:

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Philadelphia Phillies vs Minnesota Twins Prediction for this MLB game on Monday, July 22nd at Target Field. To formulate this prediction, we will examine:

-The Phillies recent form and recent player performance 

-The Twins recent form and recent player performance

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Philadelphia

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Minnesota

-Recent betting trends in games played between Philadelphia and Minnesota.

Twins Swept by the Brewers

The Twins faced off against the Milwaukee Brewers in a two game series, and they were swept. On Sunday, the Twins scored two runs in the bottom of the 9th, but it wasn’t enough as they ended up losing 8-7. Byron Buxton had a huge game, hitting two home runs and driving in two RBIs. The Twins are averaging 4.87 runs, while their pitching is giving up 4.44 runs per game. The offense is ranked 7th in the league, while the pitching is ranked 18th. The Twins are dealing with a ton of injuries right now, including to Carlos Correa, Jose Miranda, and Royce Lewis. Getting the start for the Twins will be Bailey Ober who sits with an 8-5 record and an ERA of 4.14. In his last start against the Chicago White Sox he went six innings giving up four hits and three runs. 

Phillies Dominated on Sunday

The Phillies dominated on Sunday against the Pittsburgh Pirates, winning 6-0. It was a balanced offensive attack with six players driving in one run. Tyler Phillips went six innings, giving up four hits and zero runs. The Phillies are averaging 4.9 runs, while their pitching is giving up 3.83 runs per game. The offense is ranked 2nd in the league, while the pitching is ranked 3rd in the league. They have a run differential of 1.13 which is 1st in the league. Bryce Harper has hit 22 home runs and driven in 63 RBIs. Getting the start for the Phillies will be Ranger Suarez, who sits with a 10-4 record and an ERA of 2.76. In his last start against the Oakland Athletics, he went six innings, giving up six hits and four runs. 

Why the Phillies Will Beat the Twins 

  • The Twins have lost five of their last six night games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Phillies have won seven of their last eight Monday night games.
  • The Twins have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven games at Target Field against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Phillies have covered the run line in five of their last six games against AL Central opponents.

Philadelphia Phillies vs Minnesota Twins Prediction

Trusting the Twins right now is something I am interested in, especially with this pitching matchup. Suarez wasn’t as dominant in his last start, but he still sits with an ERA of 2.766, and he’s going to dominate here. The Towns bats aren’t going to make it out of the dugout, and it’s going to be the Phillies that are going to find success here. Back the Phillies on the money line to cash. 

Shane Mickle's Pick: Phillies ML

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