St. Louis Cardinals vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction MLB Picks 7/22/24

Pittsburgh Pirates (49-48) vs St. Louis Cardinals (50-47)

July 22, 2024 at 06:40 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Pittsburgh Pirates -145 / St. Louis Cardinals +133 — Over/Under:

The St. Louis Cardinals and the Pittsburgh Pirates meet Monday in MLB action from PNC Park. Here’s a St. Louis Cardinals vs Pittsburgh Pirates prediction. This will be the first installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game. We will examine:

The St. Louis Cardinals recent form and player performance

The Pittsburgh Pirates recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the St. Louis Cardinals

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Pittsburgh Pirates

Recent betting trends in games played between the Cardinals and Pirates

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Cardinals vs Pirates game

St. Louis Cardinals Betting Preview

The Cardinals are coming off a weekend series versus the Atlanta Braves. St. Louis lost 3-2 in the opener of that set before a 9-5 win Saturday. In the rubber match the Cards powered out a 6-2 victory. Starting pitcher Miles Mikolas lasted 6.0 innings with two earned runs.

In the starter role for St. Louis on Monday it’ll be Andre Pallante. This year Pallante is 4-4 with a 4.21 ERA in 17 games (eight starts). In his career Pallante is 14-10 with a 3.88 ERA in 126 games (18 starts).

Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview

Over on the Pirates’ side, they played the Philadelphia Phillies over the weekend. Pittsburgh won 8-7 in the opener and 4-1 in Saturday’s matchup. In the finale the Pirates took a shutout loss 6-0. Marco Gonzales went 4.2 innings in the starter role with two earned runs.

Starting pitcher for Monday will be Mitch Keller. This year Keller is 10-5 with a 3.46 ERA in his 19 starts. Over 121 career games (119 starts) Keller is 35-43 with a 4.49 ERA.

Cardinals vs Pirates Pick Injury Notes

Cardinals RP Tink Hence left his start with Double-A Springfield Wednesday due to cramps.

St. Louis Cardinals @ Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Trends: July 22, 2024

Probable Starting Pitcher: Mitch Keller Record this season: 10-5 ERA: 3.46
Home Record: 5-2
Last 5 against Cardinals: 0-2

Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win

The Pirates have won 10 of their last 11 night games following a loss.
The Cardinals have lost five of their last six road games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
The Cardinals have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
The Pirates have covered the run line in four of their last five home games against the Cardinals following a loss.

Probable Starting Pitcher: Andre Pallante Record this season: 4-4 ERA: 4.21
Road Record: 1-2
Last 5 against Pirates: 0-0

Why the St. Louis Cardinals will win

The Cardinals have won eight of their last 11 games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
The Pirates have lost four of their last six games as home favorites against the Cardinals following a loss.
The Cardinals have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games as underdogs against NL Central opponents.
The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 games as favorites against the Cardinals following a loss.

Total Runs Facts

Each of the Pirates’ last four games as home favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
Nine of the Cardinals’ last 11 games as underdogs against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Cardinals’ last eight road games against NL Central opponents.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last seven night games between the Cardinals and Pirates.

Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts

Oneil Cruz has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Pirates’ last five games.
Oneil Cruz has recorded at least one Double in each of his last three appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine home appearances against the Cardinals after playing the previous day.
Andrew McCutchen has scored at least one run in each of his last eight Monday appearances at PNC Park.
Mitch Keller has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
Rowdy Tellez has hit at least one home run in two of the Pirates’ last three games as home favorites.
Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine home appearances against the Cardinals after playing the previous day.
Mitch Keller has recorded six or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one Single in each of the Pirates’ last five night games against opponents that held a winning record.

St. Louis Cardinals Player Prop Facts

Alec Burleson has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Cardinals’ last seven games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
Willson Contreras has recorded at least one total base in each of the Cardinals’ last nine night games.
Lars Nootbaar has scored at least one run in each of his last five appearances against the Pirates after playing the previous day.
Tommy Edman has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances with the Cardinals as road underdogs against the Pirates.
Willson Contreras has recorded at least one hit in each of the Cardinals’ last nine night games.
Matt Carpenter has hit a home run in four of his last five appearances at PNC Park against NL opponents that held a winning record.
Alec Burleson has recorded at least one Single in nine of the Cardinals’ last 10 road games against NL opponents.