Houston Astros vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction MLB Picks 7/4/24

Toronto Blue Jays (38-46) vs Houston Astros (43-41)

Game Info: Thursday, July 4, 2024 at 1:07 pm (Rogers Centre)

Chris Bassitt (7-6) (3.24) vs Framber Valdez (6-5) (4.11)

Betting Odds: Toronto Blue Jays / Houston Astros --- Over/Under: Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Houston Astros and Toronto Blue Jays meet Thursday in MLB game 4 action at Rogers Centre. Here’s a Houston Astros vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction. This article will include a Houston Astros vs Toronto Blue Jays Pick.

Houston Astros Betting Preview

The Houston Astros are 44-42 on the year and play the Twins and Marlins next. The Houston Astros have scored 18 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 10 of their last 12 games. The Houston Astros have won 12 of their last 13 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Jose Altuve leads the Houston Astros with 107 hits and 39 RBI, while Yordan Alvarez and Jeremy Pena have combined for 185 hits and 85 RBI.

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays are 39-47 on the year and play the Giants and Marines next. The Toronto Blue Jays have scored 10 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 7 of their last 10 games. The Toronto Blue Jays have won 4 of their last 5 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. leads the Toronto Blue Jays with 98 hits and 50 RBI, while Isiah Kiner-Falefa and Bo Bichette have combined for 140 hits and 62 RBI.

Houston Astros vs Toronto Blue Jays Pitching Pick Matchup

Framber Valdez gets the ball for the Houston Astros, and he is 6-5 with a 4.11 ERA and 68 strikeouts this season. Valdez has allowed 32 hits and 16 runs in his last 37.2 innings. Valdez has a 4.54 ERA and .263 allowed batting average in 41.2 road innings. Valdez is 1-3 with a 4.11 ERA and 25 strikeouts in his career against the Toronto Blue Jays.

Chris Bassitt gets the ball for the Toronto Blue Jays, and he is 7-6 with a 3.24 ERA and 91 strikeouts this season. Bassitt has allowed 35 hits and 8 earned runs in his last 37 innings. Bassitt has a 3.51 ERA and .269 allowed batting average in 51.1 home innings. Bassitt is 5-4 with a 3.97 ERA and 57 strikeouts in his career against the Houston Astros.

Why the Toronto Blue Jays will Beat the Astros

  • The Astros have lost each of their last five Thursday games as favorites against AL East opponents.
  • The Blue Jays have won five of their last six home games against the Astros following a home loss.
  • The Astros have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six Thursday day games as favorites against AL East opponents.
  • The Blue Jays have covered the run line in four of their last five games as underdogs against American League opponents following a loss.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Blue Jays' last five Thursday games as underdogs.
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances.
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine appearances against AL opponents.
  • Chris Bassitt has recorded six or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances in day games.
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded at least one Single in nine of his last 10 home appearances after playing the previous day.
  • Chris Bassitt has recorded a win in three of his last four home appearances.
  • Danny Jansen has scored a run in six of his last seven home appearances against AL West opponents.
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has hit a home run in four of his last seven appearances after playing the previous day.

Houston Astros Player Prop Facts

  • Yordan Alvarez has scored at least one run in each of the Astros' last six games.
  • Framber Valdez has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
  • Yordan Alvarez has hit at least one home run in each of the Astros' last four games against the Blue Jays.
  • Jeremy Pena has recorded at least one Double in four of the Astros' last five games against AL East opponents.
  • Yordan Alvarez has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last five appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Kyle Tucker has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 Thursday appearances against teams that held a losing record.
  • Jeremy Pena has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last seven appearances against AL East opponents.
  • Framber Valdez has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last five Thursday appearances against AL teams that held a losing record.
  • Jose Altuve has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six appearances against opponents that held a losing record.

Houston Astros vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction

The Houston Astros are playing the better ball right now and have played themselves back into the playoff race, but I'm leaning toward the Blue Jays in game 4. Framber Valdez has been hittable this season and has had his struggles in the past against the Blue Jays. Chris Bassitt is coming off an impressive month of June where he allowed 8 runs in his last 37 innings, and it's kind of tough to step in front of that. Give me the Blue Jays because of the edge with the starter. 

Randy’s Pick Toronto Blue Jays

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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