Philadelphia Phillies vs Boston Red Sox Prediction MLB Picks 6/13/24

Boston Red Sox (33-34) vs Philadelphia Phillies (46-20)

Game Info: Thursday, June 13, 2024 at 7:10 pm (Fenway Park)

Tanner Houck (6-5) (1.91) vs Aaron Nola (8-2) (2.88)

Betting Odds: Boston Red Sox -103 / Philadelphia Phillies -115 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Philadelphia Phillies and Boston Red Sox meet Thursday in MLB game 3 action at Nissan Arena. Here’s a Philadelphia Phillies vs Boston Red Sox Prediction.

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 46-21 on the year and play the Orioles and Padres next. The Philadelphia Phillies have scored 15 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 6 of their last 9 games. The Philadelphia Phillies have split their last 6 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Alec Bohm leads the Philadelphia Phillies with 72 hits and 52 RBI, while Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber have combined for 123 hits and 84 RBI.

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

The Boston Red Sox look to get above a .500 record before playing the Yankees and Blue Jays. The Boston Red Sox have scored 15 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 9 games. The Boston Red Sox have won 4 straight games when scoring 4 or more runs. Jarren Duran leads the Boston Red Sox with 75 hits and 28 RBI, while Rafael Devers and Connor Wong have combined for 116 hits and 53 RBI.

Philadelphia Phillies vs Boston Red Sox Pitching Matchup

Aaron Nola gets the ball for the Philadelphia Phillies, and he is 8-2 with a 2.77 ERA and 76 strikeouts this season. Nola has allowed 5 hits and 2 runs in his last 13.1 innings. Nola has a 1.82 ERA and .174 allowed batting average in 34.2 road innings. Nola is 1-1 with a 2.67 ERA and 31 strikeouts in his career against the Boston Red Sox.

Tanner Houck gets the ball for the Boston Red Sox, and he is 6-5 with a 1.91 ERA and 84 strikeouts this season. Houck has allowed 6 hits and 3 runs in his last 14 innings. Houck has a 2.11 ERA and .220 allowed batting average through 47 home innings. This will be Houck’s second career game against the Philadelphia Phillies.

Why the Boston Red Sox will win

  • The Red Sox have won each of their last 10 night games against NL East opponents following a home win.
  • The Phillies have lost seven of their last eight games as road favorites against AL East opponents.
  • The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as road favorites against AL East opponents.
  • The Red Sox have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games as underdogs against National League opponents following a home win.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

  • Connor Wong has recorded at least one Single in each of the Red Sox's last six games.
  • Connor Wong has recorded at least one hit in 17 of his last 18 appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
  • Connor Wong has recorded at least one total base in 17 of his last 18 appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
  • Trevor Story has hit a home run in two of his last three home appearances against the Phillies.
  • Triston Casas has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four home appearances against NL East opponents.
  • Triston Casas has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight appearances against NL opponents at Fenway Park.
  • Rafael Devers ranks 8th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.555) this season.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

  • Alec Bohm has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five appearances against the Red Sox after playing the previous day.
  • Aaron Nola has recorded a win in four of his last five road appearances.
  • Aaron Nola has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last six appearances with the Phillies as favorites against AL opponents.
  • Trea Turner has scored at least one run in each of his last six appearances in night games.
  • J.T. Realmuto has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances with the Phillies as favorites against AL opponents.
  • Trea Turner has recorded at least one Single in 11 of his last 12 appearances in night games.
  • J.T. Realmuto has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances against AL East opponents.
  • Trea Turner has recorded at least one hit in 17 of his last 18 appearances in night games.
  • Trea Turner has recorded at least one total base in each of his last eight appearances against the Red Sox.
  • Bryson Stott ranks T5th in the league in Steals (18) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Boston Red Sox rank 3rd in the league for walks allowed this season (178).
  • The Boston Red Sox are one of only 5 teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and batting average this season.
  • The Philadelphia Phillies rank 2nd in the league for strikeouts this season (617).
  • The Philadelphia Phillies rank 2nd in the league for runs allowed this season (233).

Philadelphia Phillies vs Boston Red Sox Prediction

This should be a hell of a baseball game. Usually you'd jump at the chance to take the Phillies and Aaron Nola at a cheap price, and it's a position you're not going to get often. However, Tanner Houck has been just as good, and he's currently top-5 in odds to win the AL CY Young. You can make a case for either side, but I do like the slightly cheaper price with the Red Sox at home, a team that's fighting to stay above .500 and starting to show flashes of consistency. Again, this is going to be a fabulous matchup. Give me the Red Sox because of home field. 

Randy’s Pick Boston Red Sox -103

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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