Twins vs Mets Prediction 4/23/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Twins vs Mets prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, April 23rd at Citi Field in Queens, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

The Minnesota Twins are 12-12 this year after they split the first two games in this series by scores of 5-3 and 2-3. In game two, Minnesota tied the game at one in the fourth and at two in the sixth, but couldn’t find anymore runs in the loss. The Twins recorded seven hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Buxton and Caratini, who both had one RBI. Prielipp allowed four hits and two earned runs over 4.0 innings, while Rogers picked up the loss in relief. Prior to this series, Minnesota lost all three against the Reds, but did win two out of three against the Red Sox before that. 

This season, Minnesota has a 3.99 ERA with a 1.35 WHIP and a .249 opponent batting average, while they have scored 119 runs with a .227 batting average and a .326 on base percentage. Josh Bell has led the Twins with three home runs and 15 RBIs, while Tristan Gray has added two home runs and 11 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Minnesota is Joe Ryan, who is 2-2 with a 3.29 ERA and a 0.88 WHIP over 27.1 innings pitched this year. 

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 8-16 this season after they won game two by a score of 3-2 on Wednesday night. New York had another rough day at the plate, but they managed to score in the eighth inning to escape with the win. The Mets recorded eight hits in the game and they were led by Lindor, Alvarez, and Vientos, who all had one RBI. Holmes allowed five hits and two earned runs over 7.0 innings, while Weaver picked up the win. Prior to this series, New York lost all three against the Cubs and all three against the Dodgers. 

This season, New York has a 4.01 ERA with a 1.26 WHIP and a .235 opponent batting average, while they have scored 78 runs with a .224 batting average and a .288 on base percentage. Bo Bichette has led the Mets with one home run and nine RBIs, while Brett Baty has added zero home runs and seven RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Christian Scott, who is making his first appearance of the season. 

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Twins have lost seven of their last eight games as favorites.
• The underdogs have won eight of the Twins’ last 10 games.
• The Twins have failed to cover the run line in 14 of their last 15 games as favorites.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Twins’ last five games.
• The Mets have led after 5 innings in five of their last six games against the Twins at Citi Field.
• The Mets have led after 3 innings in three of their last four night games against the Twins.

Why the Minnesota Twins will win

• The Mets have lost 10 of their last 11 games after playing the previous day.
• The Twins have won seven of their last eight games against National League opponents following a road loss.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine games at Citi Field.
• The Twins have covered the run line in seven of their last eight night games against teams that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Twins’ last eight games as favorites against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Eleven of the Mets’ last 13 night games as underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last five games as underdogs against AL Central opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in nine of the Twins’ last 11 games.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Juan Soto has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances against the Twins after playing the previous day.
• Bo Bichette has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 appearances against AL Central opponents.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

• Byron Buxton has hit at least one home run in four of the Twins’ last five games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Byron Buxton has recorded at least one hit in 12 of his last 13 appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.

Twins vs Mets Prediction 

New York was able to snap their long losing streak with a win on Wednesday night, but they have really struggled over the last two weeks. The Mets are 4-7 at home this year, while the Twins are 5-6 on the road. Minnesota has lost four of their last five games and they have allowed 5+ runs in two of their last four. The Twins do have the pitching advantage with Ryan on the mound, but the Mets are the more talented team and should be feeling less pressure. Take New York to win here.

David Racey's Pick: Mets ML