Pick details
| MATCHUP | The Citadel Bulldogs | North Florida Ospreys |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 2-1 | 1-2 |
| Spread | +4.5 -115 | -4.5 -105 |
| Moneyline | +154 | -185 |
| Total | Over 154.5 (-110) | Under 154.5 (-110) |
| Where | UNF Arena, Jacksonville, FL | |
| When | Saturday, November 14, 2026 | |
| Time | 02:00 PM EST | |
| TV | ESPN+ | |
The Citadel vs North Florida Prediction
I’m not running to the window to get involved in this spot, but North Florida should have the edge given the competition it’s played up to this point. Games against Miami and UCLA should prepare a team like North Florida for a game against lesser competition. The Citadel racked up a couple of wins against non-D1 teams and got smoked in its one game against Loyola Chicago.
I have to give the edge to the team that’s played real competition, as games against quality teams create a battle-tested opponent and typically produce positive results. In Jacksonville, North Florida should have the edge. The line is reasonable. I’ll lay the points with North Florida.
The Citadel Bulldogs Betting Preview
The Citadel Bulldogs lost to Loyola Chicago, and they play Clemson and South Carolina State next. The Citadel has won 4 of its last 6 games.
The Citadel Bulldogs are averaging 52 points per game on 34 percent shooting and allowing 77 points per game on 45.6 percent shooting. Tyler Mrus is averaging 17.7 points and 5 rebounds per game. Aaron Ekwere is averaging 12.3 points and 5.7 rebounds per game. Keynan Davis is averaging 11.3 points and 4.7 rebounds per game. Joe Hurlburt is averaging 11 points and 3 assists per game. The Citadel Bulldogs are shooting 32.1 percent from beyond the arc and 68.8 percent from the free-throw line. The Citadel Bulldogs are allowing 27.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 26 rebounds per game.
North Florida Ospreys Betting Preview
The North Florida Ospreys lost to UCLA and Miami, and they play Little Rock next. North Florida has lost 9 of its last 11 games.
The North Florida Ospreys are averaging 62 points per game on 36.4 percent shooting and allowing 89 points per game on 45.5 percent shooting. Kent Jackson is averaging 11 points and 2.7 rebounds per game. JR Bartelus is averaging 9 points and 3.3 rebounds per game. Mason Watkins is averaging 8.3 points and 6.3 rebounds per game. BJ Plummer is averaging 8 points and 1.3 assists per game. The North Florida Ospreys are shooting 29.3 percent from beyond the arc and 58.7 percent from the free-throw line. The North Florida Ospreys are allowing 27.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 33 rebounds per game.
Why the North Florida Ospreys will win
- North Florida has won 37 of its last 44 games against non-Conference opponents at UNF Arena.
- The Citadel has lost each of its last three games against the ASUN Conference.
Why the Citadel Bulldogs will win
- North Florida has lost 10 of its last 11 day games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Thirteen of North Florida’s last 14 day games against non-AP-ranked opponents at UNF Arena have produced a total of 156+ points.
- Each of The Citadel’s last four day games against non-AP-ranked opponents has produced a total of 159+ points.
Matchup/League Facts
- North Florida ranks T361st among Division 1 teams for opponent field goal attempts per game this season (71.0).
- North Florida ranks 360th among Division 1 teams for point differential per game this season (-27.0).
- The Citadel ranks T7th among Division 1 teams for opponent free throws made per game this season (8.0).
- The Citadel ranks 11th among Division 1 teams for effective field goal percentage this season (63.5%).
