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| MATCHUP | Cincinnati Bearcats | Iowa State Cyclones |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 5-4 | 4-5 |
| Spread | +3 -112 | -3 -108 |
| Moneyline | +124 | -148 |
| Total | Over 59.5 (-105) | Under 59.5 (-115) |
| Where | Jack Trice Stadium, Ames, IA | |
| When | Saturday, November 14, 2026 | |
| Time | 12:00 PM EST | |
| TV | TNT | |
Cincinnati vs. Iowa State Prediction
I’m not excited to get involved in this spot or lay points with Iowa State. This has been a down year for the Cyclones, and their defense has been rough. Iowa State is 99th in total defense, 99th in passing defense, and 101st in scoring defense. I like Iowa State far more in the underdog role, where it’s had great success over the years. With that said, Cincinnati is 130th in total defense, 131st in pass defense, and 107th in scoring defense. The Bearcats are possibly the worst defensive team in college football.
Cincinnati is also winless on the road, while Iowa State is 4-1 SU at home. We’re not being asked to lay anything crazy. Home field has to be the deciding factor in this spot. I’d have to side with Iowa State at home and the small number. Give me Iowa State.
Cincinnati Bearcats Betting Preview
The Cincinnati Bearcats lost to Utah and Houston, and they play Colorado next. The Cincinnati Bearcats have lost 4 of their last 5 games. JC French IV is completing 66.7 percent of his passes for 1,990 yards, 15 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions. French has been sacked 18 times this season. JV Gibson has 515 yards and 4 touchdowns on 39 catches. Malachi Henry has 399 yards and 2 touchdowns on 16 catches. Isaiah Johnson has 264 yards and 1 touchdown on 28 catches.
The Cincinnati Bearcats’ ground game is averaging 221.9 yards per contest, and Cole Tabb leads the way with 812 yards and 10 touchdowns. Defensively, Cincinnati is allowing 29.4 points and 445.3 yards per game. Jasper Beeler leads Cincinnati with 66 tackles. Patrick Bauer has 3.5 sacks. MJ Cannon has 3 interceptions.
Iowa State Cyclones Betting Preview
The Iowa State Cyclones lost to Baylor, beat Oklahoma State, and they play UCF next. Iowa State has lost 3 of its last 4 games. Jaylen Raynor is completing 59.6 percent of his passes for 1,672 yards, 12 touchdowns, and 5 interceptions. Raynor has been sacked 15 times this season. Jamal Polite Jr. has 321 yards and 2 touchdowns on 17 catches. Omari Hayes has 274 yards and 1 touchdown on 24 catches. Cody Jackson has 255 yards and 1 touchdown on 15 catches.
The Iowa State Cyclones’ ground game is averaging 181 yards per contest, and Aiden Flora leads the way with 1,119 yards and 9 touchdowns. Defensively, Iowa State is allowing 28.9 points and 394.1 yards per game. Sullivan Schlimgen leads Iowa State with 84 tackles. Isaac Terell has 3 sacks. Beau Goodwin has 2 interceptions.
Why the Iowa State Cyclones will win
- Cincinnati has lost each of its last eight November games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Iowa State has won nine of its last 10 games against non-AP-ranked teams at Jack Trice Stadium.
- Cincinnati has failed to cover the spread in each of its last six November games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Iowa State has covered the spread in each of its last three home games against teams from Ohio.
- Cincinnati has lost the first half in eight of its last nine November games as an underdog.
Why the Cincinnati Bearcats will win
- Iowa State has lost three of its last four games against conference opponents.
- Iowa State has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six games.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Iowa State’s last nine November games at Jack Trice Stadium have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Four of Cincinnati’s last five games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
Iowa State Cyclones Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 11, Aiden Flora leads the Big 12 Conference for rushing yards (1119) this season.
Cincinnati Bearcats Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 11, Cole Tabb leads the league for yards per carry (8.9) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Iowa State ranks 1st among FBS teams for red zone percentage this season (100.0).
- Iowa State ranks T120th among FBS teams for interceptions this season (3).
- Cincinnati ranks 134th among FBS teams for 1st downs against this season (211).
- Cincinnati ranks T6th among FBS teams for Q3 points per game this season (10.8).
